The School of Odds
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Barnet FC v Tranmere Rovers

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet FC (Local)

Prediction 56.47%1.77fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%56.40%56.54%57.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.6962.50%61.41%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 19.86%5.04fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%19.95%19.85%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.504.505.0025.64%22.23%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -0.955%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.07%23.65%23.61%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.813.704.1027.03%26.22%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnet FC (Local): 56.47%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 19.86%; Draw: 23.67%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -0.710%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -4.56%E -2.70%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -0.710%E -0.142%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.56%E -2.70%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -6.82%E -4.13%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -2.70%E -0.550%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.96%E -0.722%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.82%E -4.13%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.67%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 23:30
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -6.82%E -4.13%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.65%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -4.14%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 23:34
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.64%EV -5.08%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.12%EV -3.91%E -0.962%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -22.55%E -5.78%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-31 23:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -12.63%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 23:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -12.63%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 23:35
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.64%E -2.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 23:34
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -12.63%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -12.63%E -2.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.64%E -6.03%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.02%E -3.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 23:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -9.64%E -6.03%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.60%E -3.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%13.7%2026-11-01 00:55