The School of Odds
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Anstey Nomads FC v Macclesfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:44 UTC

Final: Anstey Nomads FC 0–3 Macclesfield Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anstey Nomads FC (Local)

Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.702%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%25.74%25.81%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.303.9531.75%29.40%30.30%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Macclesfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 50.03%2.00fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%50.13%50.10%51.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.871.9358.82%54.01%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.13%4.14fair odd
EV +3.77%
Edge +0.877%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%24.14%24.09%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.804.3028.57%26.77%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anstey Nomads FC (Local): 25.84%; Macclesfield Town (Visit): 50.03%; Draw: 24.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV +3.77%E +0.877%K +1.14%G +0.043%5.3%2026-10-20 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.95%E -2.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.47%E -0.868%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:30
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.47%E -0.868%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 08:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.09%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -11.95%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.09%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -18.60%E -5.91%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-20 18:10
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.21%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.68%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 18:35
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.85%E -3.14%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.92%E -3.26%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:35
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +2.07%E +0.524%K +0.702%G +0.015%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -13.12%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:35
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +2.07%E +0.524%K +0.702%G +0.015%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -13.12%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.12%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:25
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.81%E -0.475%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.12%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:34
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.12%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 18:25
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -14.95%E -8.80%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.