Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AFC Rushden and Diamonds v Braintree Town FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Local)

Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV +0.177%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.063%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.46%26.25%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.64%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Braintree Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 50.13%1.99fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.74%49.98%50.70%51.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.9157.80%55.48%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV -0.783%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%23.55%23.05%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.804.2227.78%25.89%26.32%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Local): 26.36%; Braintree Town FC (Visit): 50.13%; Draw: 23.51%. For AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.177%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.177%E +0.047%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.27%E -4.52%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 12:49
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.304%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.27%E -4.52%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 13:05
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.60%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.27%E -4.52%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.60%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 12:15
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -5.76%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:42
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.76%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.60%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:15
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.78%E -6.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -13.28%E -7.68%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -8.26%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.64%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.68%EV -14.89%E -4.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.66%E -2.80%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -3.60%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-03 12:15
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.25%E -0.298%K -0.392%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 12:20
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.