The School of Odds
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AFC Rushden and Diamonds v Braintree Town FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:10 UTC

Final: AFC Rushden and Diamonds 2–1 Braintree Town FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Local)

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.897%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%26.36%26.18%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7030.30%28.68%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Braintree Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 50.13%1.99fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.89%50.10%50.38%51.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.801.801.9156.82%55.41%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.50%4.26fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%23.54%23.44%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.804.2127.78%25.96%26.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AFC Rushden and Diamonds (Local): 26.37%; Braintree Town FC (Visit): 50.13%; Draw: 23.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.21, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.42%E -0.655%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 13:08
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.42%E -0.655%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 13:10
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.67%E -0.895%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.06%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.67%E -0.895%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 12:15
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 13:55
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.76%E -4.81%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-03 14:07
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.93%EV -6.64%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.43%EV -5.25%E -2.78%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.64%EV -1.08%E -0.257%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.67%E -0.895%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 12:15
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.77%E -6.69%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.00%EV -9.28%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.42%EV -9.26%E -5.12%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.57%EV -14.48%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 13:08
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.25%E -2.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 14:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -3.67%E -0.895%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-03 12:15
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.89%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 14:01
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.