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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa

2026-09-19 11:30 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tottenham Hotspur (主队)

预测 41.22%2.43公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.449%
Kelly -0.770%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.86%41.30%40.99%42.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.262.302.4048.78%44.18%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aston Villa (客队)

预测 30.50%3.28公平赔率
EV -0.889%
优势 -0.274%
Kelly -0.395%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
29.20%30.54%30.72%32.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.26%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.29%3.54公平赔率
EV -0.997%
优势 -0.285%
Kelly -0.399%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.76%28.16%28.28%28.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.333.5032.26%29.99%30.08%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Tottenham Hotspur (主队)：41.22%；Aston Villa (客队)：30.50%；平局：28.29%。 对于“Aston Villa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.28。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.25，期望值为-0.889%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%EV -1.08%E -0.449%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.70%EV -2.11%E -0.657%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.24%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%EV -2.73%E -1.16%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.20%EV -2.69%E -0.783%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -12.17%E -4.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.997%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -12.17%E -4.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.94%EV -12.48%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.94%EV -12.48%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -0.889%E -0.274%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.41%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.41%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:02
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -7.22%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.61%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.15%E -4.65%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.00%EV -10.97%E -5.08%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.65%EV -6.68%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -11.38%E -5.29%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.62%EV -12.21%E -5.73%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.10%EV -8.63%E -2.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.44%E -6.40%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -15.50%E -7.56%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-05 23:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%15.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%15.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%15.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 41.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%16.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 33.33%1.35I 74.07%NM 33.33%1.35I 74.07%NM 33.33%122.2%2026-09-06 01:00