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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunderland (主队)

预测 31.41%3.18公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.851%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.82%31.41%31.42%32.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.932.913.1037.04%34.09%34.36%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brighton and Hove Albion (客队)

预测 40.51%2.47公平赔率
EV -1.16%
优势 -0.476%
Kelly -0.807%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布
39.90%40.55%40.49%40.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.292.302.4447.62%43.62%43.48%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.09%3.56公平赔率
EV -0.576%
优势 -0.163%
Kelly -0.227%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.54

博彩公司预测分布
27.05%28.04%28.09%28.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.333.5432.26%30.01%30.08%28.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sunderland (主队)：31.41%；Brighton and Hove Albion (客队)：40.51%；平局：28.09%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.54，期望值为-0.576%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%EV -2.64%E -0.851%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.38%EV -1.16%E -0.476%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.83%EV -0.576%E -0.163%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -2.78%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -2.26%E -0.650%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 17:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:11
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:11
MyBookie.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.17%EV -6.72%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -7.64%E -3.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -7.88%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:10
ReBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.15%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -8.92%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.99%EV -11.69%E -5.36%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.97%E -3.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:09
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.70%E -0.485%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:10
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -9.55%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -10.49%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -14.93%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.93%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-12 17:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:10