Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunderland v Arsenal

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC

Final: Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

70 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunderland (Local)

Prediction 15.97%6.26fair odd
EV +11.76%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.231%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.87%15.91%15.88%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.076.007.0019.23%16.49%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Visit)

Prediction 58.71%1.70fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.32%58.80%58.76%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6766.23%62.62%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%25.28%25.36%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.753.754.0028.17%26.67%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunderland (Local): 15.97%; Arsenal (Visit): 58.71%; Draw: 25.32%. For Sunderland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (70 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV +11.76%E +1.68%K +1.96%G +0.231%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.29%E +0.324%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.0%2026-09-12 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV +11.76%E +1.68%K +1.96%G +0.231%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.29%E +0.324%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV +11.76%E +1.68%K +1.96%G +0.231%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.29%E +0.324%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.0%2026-09-12 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV +11.76%E +1.68%K +1.96%G +0.231%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV +1.29%E +0.324%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:35
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:35
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:34
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +7.77%E +1.15%K +1.35%G +0.105%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:35
Coolbet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%EV +5.38%E +0.815%K +0.960%G +0.052%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.38%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:55
1xBet🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.68%EV +4.58%E +0.699%K +0.825%G +0.038%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +3.78%E +0.582%K +0.688%G +0.026%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.03%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +3.78%E +0.582%K +0.688%G +0.026%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:34
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +3.78%E +0.582%K +0.688%G +0.026%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV +2.98%E +0.462%K +0.547%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV +2.98%E +0.462%K +0.547%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:25
BetAnything🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.97%EV +2.98%E +0.462%K +0.547%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.61%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +2.18%E +0.341%K +0.405%G +0.009%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +2.18%E +0.341%K +0.405%G +0.009%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:34
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +2.18%E +0.341%K +0.405%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.210%E -0.034%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:35
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -0.210%E -0.034%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 18:34
BetUS🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -1.01%E -0.163%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.76%EV -1.81%E -0.294%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 18:25
Pinnacle🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.92%EV -2.61%E -0.427%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.86%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 18:50
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:26
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.78%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -1.24%E -0.317%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:05
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:51
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:55
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:05
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:55
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:25
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.20%E -0.700%K -0.840%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:56
GTbets🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.869%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.26%EV -5.54%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:25
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.03%EV -5.80%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -5.80%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 18:30
Fliff🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.40%EV -5.80%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.00%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 18:45
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -7.40%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.18%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -7.40%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.29%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:55
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -7.40%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 18:55
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Dabble (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:56
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.19%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:05
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:50
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:50
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:15
Caesars🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -8.19%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:24
MyBookie.ag🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -8.99%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -10.59%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.37%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 18:56
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:25
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:25
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:25
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 18:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:25
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.19%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.84%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -13.78%E -2.55%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.42%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.879%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -16.97%E -3.26%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.96%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-09-12 18:56
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-12 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.87%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-09-12 18:50