The School of OddsNottingham Forest v Leeds United
Head to Head
Option 1: Nottingham Forest (Local)
Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1746.16%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2744.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
41.91%2.386Min
44.92%2.226Max
43.06%2.323Mean
42.83%2.335Median
42.90%2.331IQM
43.07%2.322Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.27 under the IQM model: 42.90%
EV -2.62%Edge -1.15%Kelly -2.06%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Leeds United (Visit)
Odds
2.7037.04%Min
3.1032.21%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3130.21%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.77%3.475Min
31.05%3.221Max
29.86%3.349Mean
29.96%3.338Median
29.91%3.344IQM
29.87%3.348Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.31 under the IQM model: 29.91%
EV -1.01%Edge -0.305%Kelly -0.437%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.4429.07%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.55%3.914Min
27.87%3.588Max
27.08%3.692Mean
27.21%3.675Median
27.19%3.677IQM
27.06%3.695Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 27.19%
EV +0.621%Edge +0.168%Kelly +0.230%Growth +0.001%
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Nottingham Forest (Local) | Leeds United (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.96%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.55%EV +0.621% E +0.168% K +0.230% G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.96%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.55%EV +0.621% E +0.168% K +0.230% G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05% NM 43.40%EV -2.62% E -1.15% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21% NM 29.76%EV -1.01% E -0.305% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25% NM 26.84%EV -0.195% E -0.053% K -0.073% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84% NM 43.48%EV -4.34% E -1.94% K -3.53% G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67% NM 29.74%EV -2.50% E -0.768% K -1.11% G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62% NM 26.78%EV -1.55% E -0.429% K -0.593% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-27 19:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45% NM 43.09%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.58%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.33%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 10:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 43.09%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.58%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.33%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.85%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.98%EV -2.80% E -0.863% K -1.25% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.16%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.85%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.98%EV -2.80% E -0.863% K -1.25% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.16%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.85%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.98%EV -2.80% E -0.863% K -1.25% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.16%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.85%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.98%EV -2.80% E -0.863% K -1.25% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.16%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.23%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.96%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.80%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.23%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.96%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.80%EV -2.10% E -0.583% K -0.807% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.21I 45.25% NM 43.12%EV -5.19% E -2.35% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45% NM 29.97%EV -4.90% E -1.54% K -2.25% G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25% NM 26.92%EV -3.73% E -1.05% K -1.47% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64% NM 42.53%EV -3.91% E -1.74% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.25%EV -5.79% E -1.84% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.22%EV -4.82% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.21I 45.25% NM 43.11%EV -5.19% E -2.35% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15% NM 29.68%EV -4.00% E -1.25% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.22%EV -4.82% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.21I 45.25% NM 43.11%EV -5.19% E -2.35% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15% NM 29.68%EV -4.00% E -1.25% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.22%EV -4.82% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -4.82% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-27 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.92%EV -12.06% E -5.88% K -11.48% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.77%EV -4.30% E -1.34% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -4.82% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87% NM 43.22%EV -6.48% E -2.97% K -5.49% G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45% NM 29.63%EV -4.90% E -1.54% K -2.25% G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82% NM 27.15%EV -5.63% E -1.62% K -2.28% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 06:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.60%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.23%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 27.17%EV -6.18% E -1.79% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.74%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.63%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.63%EV -6.18% E -1.79% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -4.30% E -1.34% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -4.30% E -1.34% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 16:37 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 20:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -5.62% E -2.56% K -4.69% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.11%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.46%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 06:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.78%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.16%EV -8.79% E -2.88% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.06%EV -7.54% E -2.22% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 10:35 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.82%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.70%EV -7.29% E -2.35% K -3.47% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.48%EV -8.90% E -2.66% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 01:25 |
| ReBet | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -10.26% E -3.11% K -4.46% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-28 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30% NM 41.94%EV -7.34% E -3.40% K -6.33% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.19%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.87%EV -11.62% E -3.57% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30% NM 41.94%EV -7.34% E -3.40% K -6.33% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.19%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.87%EV -11.62% E -3.57% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.05%EV -7.77% E -3.61% K -6.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.13%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.82%EV -11.62% E -3.57% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-25 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62% NM 42.62%EV -9.91% E -4.72% K -9.01% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.84%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.54%EV -11.62% E -3.57% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 42.76%EV -12.06% E -5.88% K -11.48% G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25% NM 30.02%EV -12.67% E -4.34% K -6.60% G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06% NM 27.22%EV -12.43% E -3.86% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 20:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 42.60%EV -12.06% E -5.88% K -11.48% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.11%EV -13.27% E -4.58% K -6.98% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.29%EV -12.98% E -4.06% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-19 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 42.96%EV -13.34% E -6.61% K -13.08% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 29.92%EV -13.27% E -4.58% K -6.98% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.12%EV -12.98% E -4.06% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-03 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 41.91%EV -14.20% E -7.10% K -14.20% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 31.05%EV -19.25% E -7.13% K -11.32% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.04%EV -15.70% E -5.06% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-25 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 42.86%EV -14.20% E -7.10% K -14.20% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.57%EV -10.28% E -3.43% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.57%EV -18.42% E -6.14% K -9.21% G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-06-19 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Nottingham Forest (Local) | Leeds United (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.55I 28.17% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.55I 28.17% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86% | 3.25I 30.77% | 3.55I 28.17% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02% | 2.84I 35.21% | 3.15I 31.75% | 16.0% | 2026-06-28 20:20 |