Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Final: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nottingham Forest (Local)

Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV +0.556%
Edge +0.202%
Kelly +0.318%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%36.43%36.59%37.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.53%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aston Villa (Visit)

Prediction 34.48%2.90fair odd
EV -0.343%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%34.62%34.59%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.8939.22%36.57%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV -0.409%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.94%28.82%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.293.4434.72%30.67%30.40%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nottingham Forest (Local): 36.57%; Aston Villa (Visit): 34.48%; Draw: 28.95%. For Nottingham Forest (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.556%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.52%EV +0.556%E +0.202%K +0.318%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Bovada🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV +0.190%E +0.069%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV -0.688%E -0.239%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV -0.688%E -0.239%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%EV -0.688%E -0.239%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 07:14
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -1.27%E -0.471%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.69%EV -2.37%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.38%E -0.482%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 29.07%EV -2.44%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 12:00
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.05%EV -0.343%E -0.119%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.11%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.11%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 12:00
GTbets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -7.24%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.52%EV -3.30%E -0.989%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV -3.83%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -1.72%E -0.604%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 12:01
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -3.83%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.29%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.91%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.80%EV -2.15%E -0.635%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.16%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.15%EV -2.07%E -0.728%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.15%E -0.635%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 12:00
ReBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.48%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.50%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -5.04%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 11:59
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 12:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 11:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.93%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.19%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.13%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -0.409%E -0.119%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 12:01
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.52%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.52%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%EV -2.76%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -3.01%E -0.900%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:01
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 11:59
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.57%E -0.461%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 12:00
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.59%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.62%E -5.77%K -8.84%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 12:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%0.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-04-12 12:00