Language:English
Newcastle United v Manchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle United (Local)
Prediction 36.48%2.74fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.510%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%36.48%36.48%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7840.82%38.60%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester United (Visit)
Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%37.47%37.48%38.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.522.502.6342.02%39.70%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.05%26.04%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.623.653.8032.26%27.59%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle United (Local): 36.48%; Manchester United (Visit): 37.50%; Draw: 26.02%. For Newcastle United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%EV +1.42%E +0.510%K +0.796%G +0.011% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -5.49%E -2.18%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.53%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.284%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -5.49%E -2.18%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.284%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.35%EV -5.49%E -2.18%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -1.50%E -0.556%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -1.50%E -0.556%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -1.50%E -0.556%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -1.50%E -0.556%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.44%EV -2.60%E -0.972%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.27%EV -2.12%E -0.811%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.83%EV -2.96%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%EV -1.37%E -0.520%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.92%EV -1.66%E -0.439%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.15%EV -2.96%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -4.74%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.31%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.33%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 06:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.96%EV -4.06%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.70%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.00%EV -5.12%E -2.02%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.69%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.15%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.15%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.86%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.15%E -1.98%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -5.51%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -6.08%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.89%EV -5.88%E -2.28%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.14%E -0.300%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -6.97%E -2.73%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -8.87%E -3.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.81%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.26%EV -7.37%E -2.98%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -8.80%E -3.52%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -10.74%E -4.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -19.35%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-04 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.665%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.62%E -4.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.94%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |