The School of OddsNewcastle United v Liverpool
Head to Head
Option 1: Newcastle United (Local)
Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.8035.71%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
3.0532.79%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.31%3.194Min
34.78%2.875Max
32.66%3.062Mean
32.62%3.066Median
32.66%3.062IQM
32.67%3.061Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 32.66%
EV -0.384%Edge -0.126%Kelly -0.187%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Liverpool (Visit)
Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.2045.54%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2843.86%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.96%2.441Min
43.81%2.282Max
42.67%2.344Mean
42.64%2.345Median
42.67%2.344IQM
42.69%2.342Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.28 under the IQM model: 42.67%
EV -2.72%Edge -1.19%Kelly -2.13%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.8026.33%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.0324.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.40%4.273Min
25.76%3.882Max
24.67%4.053Mean
24.74%4.042Median
24.67%4.053IQM
24.64%4.059Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.03 under the IQM model: 24.67%
EV -0.570%Edge -0.141%Kelly -0.188%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Newcastle United (Local) ▼ | Liverpool (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.05I 32.79% NM 32.31%EV -0.384% E -0.126% K -0.187% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 43.23%EV -2.72% E -1.19% K -2.13% G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81% NM 24.46%EV -0.570% E -0.141% K -0.188% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.00I 33.33% NM 32.29%EV -2.02% E -0.672% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64% NM 43.25%EV -4.43% E -1.98% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25% NM 24.46%EV -2.30% E -0.580% K -0.776% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.40%EV -2.02% E -0.672% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.81%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.79%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.93%EV -3.65% E -1.24% K -1.87% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 43.21%EV -6.99% E -3.20% K -5.92% G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39% NM 24.86%EV -6.49% E -1.71% K -2.33% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 11:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.92I 34.25% NM 32.66%EV -4.63% E -1.59% K -2.41% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.38%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18% NM 24.96%EV -5.75% E -1.51% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25% NM 32.60%EV -4.63% E -1.59% K -2.41% G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84% NM 42.68%EV -4.85% E -2.18% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.72%EV -5.01% E -1.30% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25% NM 32.60%EV -4.63% E -1.59% K -2.41% G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84% NM 42.68%EV -4.85% E -2.18% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.72%EV -5.01% E -1.30% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.91%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64% NM 42.61%EV -4.43% E -1.98% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.47%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 10:49 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.45%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.78%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.77%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 16:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.34%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.62%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.05%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.34%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.62%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.05%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.34%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.62%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.05%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.34%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.62%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.05%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -5.28% E -1.82% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.50%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.27%EV -8.71% E -2.35% K -3.23% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.31%EV -5.94% E -2.06% K -3.16% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 42.93%EV -10.40% E -4.95% K -9.45% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.76%EV -13.65% E -3.90% K -5.46% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-04 10:05 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.19%EV -6.92% E -2.43% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.67%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.14%EV -9.95% E -2.72% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 06:58 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.18%EV -6.92% E -2.43% K -3.74% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.68%EV -10.40% E -4.95% K -9.45% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.14%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -8.55% E -3.05% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.26%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.77%EV -1.31% E -0.328% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.64%EV -8.55% E -3.05% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.81%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.55%EV -1.31% E -0.328% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.23%EV -8.55% E -3.05% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.29%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-25 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.12%EV -8.55% E -3.05% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.15%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -7.48% E -1.99% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71% NM 32.47%EV -8.55% E -3.05% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.28%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.25%EV -11.18% E -3.11% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 04:45 |
| ReBet | 2.76I 36.23% NM 32.90%EV -9.86% E -3.57% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 24.87%EV -9.95% E -2.72% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.00%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.63%EV -1.31% E -0.328% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.04%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.55%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.40%EV -1.31% E -0.328% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.95%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.49%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 06:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.84%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.30%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.86%EV -3.78% E -0.969% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.35%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.81%EV -7.48% E -1.99% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 19:40 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.63%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.04%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.34%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.63%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.04%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.34%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.63%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.04%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.34%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.63%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.04%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.34%EV -6.24% E -1.64% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.41%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.73%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.86%EV -5.01% E -1.30% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.20%EV -10.18% E -3.70% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.46%EV -8.27% E -3.84% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.34%EV -7.48% E -1.99% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 19:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -11.82% E -4.38% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.74%EV -4.00% E -1.78% K -3.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.48%EV -1.31% E -0.328% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 32.60%EV -11.82% E -4.38% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 42.94%EV -12.53% E -6.11% K -11.94% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.45%EV -11.18% E -3.11% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-19 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 32.15%EV -11.82% E -4.38% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 43.40%EV -14.67% E -7.33% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 24.45%EV -12.41% E -3.50% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.68I 37.31% NM 32.66%EV -12.47% E -4.65% K -7.42% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 42.69%EV -12.53% E -6.11% K -11.94% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 24.65%EV -12.41% E -3.50% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-20 17:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -13.45% E -5.07% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.96%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.03%EV -11.18% E -3.11% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -13.45% E -5.07% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.96%EV -6.13% E -2.79% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.03%EV -11.18% E -3.11% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 33.05%EV -15.08% E -5.80% K -9.43% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 40.92%EV -10.40% E -4.95% K -9.45% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.04%EV -18.58% E -5.63% K -8.08% G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-19 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 33.62%EV -18.35% E -7.34% K -12.23% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 42.02%EV -14.67% E -7.33% K -14.67% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 24.36%EV -14.88% E -4.31% K -6.07% G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Newcastle United (Local) | Liverpool (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.30I 43.48% | 4.00I 25.00% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.30I 43.48% | 4.00I 25.00% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01% | 2.30I 43.48% | 4.00I 25.00% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46% | 2.04I 49.02% | 3.40I 29.41% | 16.9% | 2026-06-20 17:19 |