Language:English
Newcastle United v Everton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle United (Local)
Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.90%53.31%53.36%54.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8358.48%56.37%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Everton (Visit)
Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.636%
Kelly +0.804%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%21.50%21.44%22.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.8025.00%22.55%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -0.668%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.227%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.18%25.20%27.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.743.753.9430.77%26.71%26.67%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle United (Local): 53.32%; Everton (Visit): 21.47%; Draw: 25.21%. For Everton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.59%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.36%EV +3.06%E +0.636%K +0.804%G +0.025% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.27%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV +3.06%E +0.636%K +0.804%G +0.025% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.27%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV +3.06%E +0.636%K +0.804%G +0.025% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.27%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV +3.06%E +0.636%K +0.804%G +0.025% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%EV -2.94%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +1.98%E +0.417%K +0.528%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.15%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.00%EV -1.17%E -0.299%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.28%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV +0.908%E +0.193%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.87%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.11%EV +0.264%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 25.02%EV -0.668%E -0.170%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -1.24%E -0.269%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.01%EV -2.18%E -0.562%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -1.24%E -0.269%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.04%EV -1.24%E -0.269%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.24%E -0.269%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.24%E -0.269%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.87%EV -1.67%E -0.364%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.18%EV -1.88%E -0.412%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -3.69%E -0.967%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.92%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.39%E -0.752%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.26%EV -4.46%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -4.46%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.53%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.31%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.04%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -7.47%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.27%EV -4.95%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 13:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.94%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -8.82%E -5.16%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.90%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -18.06%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 14:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.67% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |