The School of Odds
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Newcastle United v Brighton and Hove Albion

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton and Hove Albion

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newcastle United (Local)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.753%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.71%35.25%35.22%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.652.8040.00%37.59%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Visit)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.377%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.84%38.23%38.27%39.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.452.6043.48%40.42%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.490%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.31%26.52%26.51%27.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.603.8232.26%27.88%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle United (Local): 35.23%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Visit): 38.23%; Draw: 26.54%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +1.38%E +0.362%K +0.490%G +0.007%3.4%2026-05-02 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.21%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV +1.38%E +0.362%K +0.490%G +0.007%3.4%2026-05-02 13:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.38%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.78%EV -0.603%E -0.232%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%EV +0.852%E +0.224%K +0.304%G +0.003%1.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.603%E -0.232%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%EV -0.475%E -0.127%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.603%E -0.232%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%EV -0.475%E -0.127%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.603%E -0.232%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%EV -0.475%E -0.127%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -0.475%E -0.127%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 35.11%EV -1.71%E -0.612%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.56%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.33%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%EV -2.51%E -0.986%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -1.80%E -0.487%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.97%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -1.80%E -0.487%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.55%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -1.80%E -0.487%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:05
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -1.80%E -0.487%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -1.80%E -0.487%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.04%EV -2.41%E -0.871%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.66%EV -4.04%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV -2.07%E -0.560%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.74%EV -1.35%E -0.484%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.75%EV -4.04%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.51%EV -2.60%E -0.708%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-02 13:56
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -5.19%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:06
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -3.13%E -0.857%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.75%EV -1.71%E -0.612%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.62%EV -4.04%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.39%E -0.933%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 13:56
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.84%EV -0.603%E -0.232%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -3.39%E -0.933%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 09:35
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.39%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.39%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.26%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:06
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:06
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.12%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.16%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:05
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.33%EV -2.76%E -1.00%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.78%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.78%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -10.16%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.78%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -10.16%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.78%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.12%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -1.35%E -0.484%K -0.753%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:05
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.11%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.34%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -2.51%E -0.986%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -7.91%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:44
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.40%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.16%E -4.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:10
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.88%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.70%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.76%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.92%E -4.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -17.73%E -5.72%K -8.44%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98%0.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-05-02 13:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-05-02 13:15