Language:English
Manchester United v Liverpool
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Manchester United (Local)
Prediction 40.14%2.49fair odd
EV -0.455%
Edge -0.183%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.23%40.20%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.372.4844.44%42.36%42.28%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liverpool (Visit)
Prediction 34.07%2.93fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%34.10%34.06%35.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.753.0338.46%36.14%36.36%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV +0.569%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.196%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.23%25.67%25.74%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.693.703.9028.57%27.13%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester United (Local): 40.14%; Liverpool (Visit): 34.07%; Draw: 25.79%. For Liverpool (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.67%EV -8.88%E -3.91%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.97%EV +3.24%E +1.07%K +1.60%G +0.052% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -1.49%E -0.391%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.56%EV -3.26%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV -1.19%E -0.409%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.67%EV -0.856%E -0.347%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.14%EV -2.21%E -0.769%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.20%EV -3.56%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 14:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.22%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.03%EV -2.55%E -0.891%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.75%EV -2.53%E -0.668%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.64%EV -0.455%E -0.183%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.49%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.721%E -0.187%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.00%EV -3.23%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.00%EV -3.23%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40%EV -0.455%E -0.183%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.89%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.66%E -0.677%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.59%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.69%EV -1.66%E -0.677%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.59%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.61%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.32%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.32%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.25%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.21%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 13:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.45%EV -5.27%E -2.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.69%E -4.31%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.27%E -2.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.17%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 13:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -4.87%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.31%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.97%EV -4.87%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.08%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 14:18 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.86%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.72%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -7.32%E -2.69%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +0.569%E +0.146%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -3.67%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.30%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -0.721%E -0.187%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.69%E -4.31%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.01%E -0.529%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -9.69%E -4.31%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.69%E -4.31%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.41%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.69%E -4.31%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.41%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.75%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 14:25 |