Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester United v Leeds United

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Manchester United 1–2 Leeds United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester United (Local)

Prediction 57.82%1.73fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.43%57.83%57.75%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.7063.69%61.17%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leeds United (Visit)

Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV +5.48%
Edge +0.981%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 5.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.27%18.90%19.07%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.025.005.5822.22%19.90%20.00%17.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.28%4.30fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.25%23.27%23.19%24.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.074.104.2528.57%24.60%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester United (Local): 57.82%; Leeds United (Visit): 18.90%; Draw: 23.28%. For Leeds United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.17%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.39%EV +5.48%E +0.981%K +1.20%G +0.065%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.44%EV -3.62%E -0.875%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.69%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.75%EV +4.34%E +0.787%K +0.961%G +0.042%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.56%EV -3.16%E -0.759%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 18:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.68%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +3.96%E +0.721%K +0.881%G +0.035%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.68%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +3.96%E +0.721%K +0.881%G +0.035%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -8.65%E -5.47%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +3.96%E +0.721%K +0.881%G +0.035%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.89%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10%EV +2.07%E +0.384%K +0.471%G +0.010%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.00%EV -1.06%E -0.250%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV +2.07%E +0.384%K +0.471%G +0.010%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.01%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.22%EV +1.13%E +0.211%K +0.259%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.24%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%EV +0.184%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.39%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.40%EV +0.184%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.39%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.40%EV +0.184%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 18:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.08%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.25%EV -0.761%E -0.145%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.66%EV -5.72%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.40%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -0.761%E -0.145%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -0.761%E -0.145%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.16%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -0.761%E -0.145%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.81%EV -3.39%E -0.817%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -0.761%E -0.145%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:29
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:04
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -1.71%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 18:30
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.37%EV -3.03%E -0.591%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.10%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.53%EV -1.71%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%EV -3.60%E -0.705%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -3.60%E -0.705%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:00
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 18:00
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.02%EV -5.76%E -3.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.02%EV -5.76%E -3.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:10
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.21%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.49%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 18:09
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.60%EV -1.71%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -7.38%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -5.72%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.60%EV -1.71%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -7.38%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -5.72%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -7.38%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.38%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.38%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 18:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 17:55
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 18:27
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 18:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.27%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.55%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.37%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.37%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 18:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.39%EV -8.07%E -5.08%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.21%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-13 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.54%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -13.05%E -2.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 18:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -1.71%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -14.94%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.88%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 18:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.94%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -5.18%E -3.16%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.94%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.23%E -0.530%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 18:50
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.94%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.21%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.63%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -14.94%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -18.52%E -5.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-13 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-04-13 18:50
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-04-13 18:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-04-13 18:10