Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester United v Crystal Palace

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester United (Local)

Prediction 62.63%1.60fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%62.50%62.73%64.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5769.44%66.19%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crystal Palace (Visit)

Prediction 15.89%6.29fair odd
EV +7.27%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.092%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.41%15.94%15.80%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.996.006.7518.52%16.69%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.48%4.66fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.335%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%21.56%21.47%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.394.404.6026.67%22.76%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester United (Local): 62.63%; Crystal Palace (Visit): 15.89%; Draw: 21.48%. For Crystal Palace (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.43%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +7.27%E +1.08%K +1.26%G +0.092%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-01 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.08%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +3.29%E +0.507%K +0.599%G +0.020%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -1.20%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.08%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +3.29%E +0.507%K +0.599%G +0.020%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -1.20%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.08%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.89%EV +3.29%E +0.507%K +0.599%G +0.020%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -1.20%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +3.29%E +0.507%K +0.599%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +3.29%E +0.507%K +0.599%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 13:14
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.19%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.28%EV +1.86%E +0.291%K +0.345%G +0.006%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%EV -2.28%E -0.501%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-01 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV -4.43%E -0.995%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV -4.43%E -0.995%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 12:24
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.10%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +1.71%E +0.267%K +0.316%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.02%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%EV -1.47%E -0.237%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV -2.28%E -0.501%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.40%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.06%E -0.502%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:49
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.48%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.80%EV -3.86%E -0.637%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 13:48
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.00%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 11:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:48
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:00
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:34
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 11:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 11:59
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:29
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 13:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:34
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.00%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:48
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.17%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.18%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -4.65%E -0.775%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 13:29
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.24%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -4.64%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.22%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV -6.24%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 13:49
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.22%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV -6.24%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -7.83%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.81%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 13:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -8.62%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.35%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -9.42%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -11.01%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:49
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -11.01%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 13:49
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.91%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.25%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -6.57%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.35%E -0.745%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 13:49
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -12.60%E -2.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -19.46%E -5.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.19%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:14
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -14.19%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-03-01 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-01 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-01 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-01 13:39
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-01 13:49
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-03-01 13:49