Language:English
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Manchester United (Local)
Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.04%55.86%55.84%56.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.97%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aston Villa (Visit)
Prediction 20.53%4.87fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%20.55%20.51%21.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.614.604.9323.26%21.70%21.74%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.302%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.59%23.65%25.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.014.004.2029.41%24.95%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester United (Local): 55.89%; Aston Villa (Visit): 20.53%; Draw: 23.58%. For Aston Villa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.63%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.22%E +0.248%K +0.311%G +0.004% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%EV -1.67%E -0.401%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.05%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%EV +0.607%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.66%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00%EV +0.607%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -0.966%E -0.230%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.34%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%EV +0.607%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.34%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%EV +0.607%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.64%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +0.607%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.48%EV -2.15%E -0.517%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.67%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -0.419%E -0.086%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -2.15%E -0.517%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.67%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -0.419%E -0.086%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -2.15%E -0.517%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.54%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -1.45%E -0.301%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 13:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.40%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.85%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.85%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 07:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.86%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.19%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -4.53%E -0.973%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -2.15%E -0.517%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -4.53%E -0.973%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.83%EV -4.94%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 04:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.76%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV -1.20%E -0.287%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.76%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.90%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.21%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.76%EV -6.58%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -0.966%E -0.230%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.22%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.966%E -0.230%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.966%E -0.230%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.86%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.93%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.04%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.22%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -19.83%E -5.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -3.32%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.68% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.75% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 13:45 |