Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City v Nottingham Forest

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City (Local)

Prediction 67.71%1.48fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%67.74%67.77%70.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.391.401.4474.63%71.89%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nottingham Forest (Visit)

Prediction 12.74%7.85fair odd
EV +12.11%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.188%

assuming max odds 8.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.13%12.71%12.68%14.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.587.508.8015.38%13.20%13.33%11.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +0.835%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.13%19.55%19.55%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.914.975.3023.81%20.35%20.10%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 67.71%; Nottingham Forest (Visit): 12.74%; Draw: 19.55%. For Nottingham Forest (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.85. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.47%EV -4.52%E -3.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13%EV +12.11%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.188%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.40%EV -1.30%E -0.257%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-04 19:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.84%EV -4.52%E -3.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.58%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58%EV +3.59%E +0.677%K +0.835%G +0.030%1.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.99%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.53%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%EV +3.59%E +0.677%K +0.835%G +0.030%2.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.99%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.53%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%EV +3.59%E +0.677%K +0.835%G +0.030%2.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.48%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.44%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.07%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -6.55%E -4.75%K -17.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +3.59%E +0.677%K +0.835%G +0.030%3.1%2026-03-04 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.35%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.26%EV +8.29%E +0.976%K +1.11%G +0.092%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.40%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%4.5%2026-03-04 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.82%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%EV +7.02%E +0.835%K +0.948%G +0.067%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-04 19:15
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.95%EV -4.52%E -3.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.94%EV +3.71%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.10%EV -0.515%E -0.101%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.52%E -3.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.00%EV +3.20%E +0.395%K +0.450%G +0.014%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.06%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -4.52%E -3.21%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.00%EV +3.20%E +0.395%K +0.450%G +0.014%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.06%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +2.61%E +0.498%K +0.615%G +0.016%5.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Bovada🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.20%EV -5.88%E -4.23%K -15.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.55%E -4.75%K -17.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.01%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV +1.64%E +0.314%K +0.389%G +0.006%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -8.59%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -9.26%E -6.91%K -27.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +1.92%E +0.240%K +0.275%G +0.005%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:15
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.27%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.02%EV +1.29%E +0.162%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.71%EV -5.21%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.98%EV -7.23%E -5.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.12%EV -0.626%E -0.080%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.26%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.60%EV -1.26%E -0.163%K -0.187%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14%EV -0.319%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-04 19:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.31%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.85%EV -3.81%E -0.505%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.84%EV +0.658%E +0.128%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-04 19:14
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.32%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -5.21%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 19:14
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.33%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:14
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -6.55%E -4.75%K -17.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -4.45%E -0.593%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 19:15
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.20%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 13.09%EV -7.12%E -0.977%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.71%EV -5.40%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.17%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -7.63%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -14.00%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.23%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.35%EV -8.27%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -3.25%E -0.657%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 19:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.12%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.42%EV -9.54%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.12%EV -9.26%E -6.91%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -9.54%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.17%E -2.22%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 18:19
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -3.85%E -2.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -5.88%E -4.23%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.23%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 19:15
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.16%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.05%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.05%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.05%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.05%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.91%E -5.81%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -10.82%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -17.91%E -4.26%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -2.49%E -1.73%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.20%E -3.71%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.19%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.05%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.74%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%0.3%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.48%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%1.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-03-04 19:15