Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City v Newcastle United

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City (Local)

Prediction 61.97%1.61fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.81%61.94%61.80%64.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.50%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle United (Visit)

Prediction 17.61%5.68fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.25%17.61%17.75%19.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.425.436.0020.83%18.44%18.43%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.42%4.90fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.07%20.45%20.45%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.604.604.9526.67%21.72%21.74%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 61.97%; Newcastle United (Visit): 17.61%; Draw: 20.42%. For Newcastle United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%EV +5.66%E +0.944%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.11%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%EV +5.66%E +0.944%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.59%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +5.66%E +0.944%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +5.66%E +0.944%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.60%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.84%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.56%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-21 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.52%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.79%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -9.53%E -6.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.07%EV +1.09%E +0.221%K +0.277%G +0.003%5.9%2026-02-21 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.26%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +2.14%E +0.369%K +0.446%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +1.26%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.26%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +1.26%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +1.26%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77%EV +0.378%E +0.066%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +0.378%E +0.066%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.38%E -0.247%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.38%E -0.247%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV -2.26%E -0.408%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.93%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.14%E -0.572%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.14%E -0.572%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.14%E -0.572%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.14%E -0.572%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -9.53%E -6.53%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -3.14%E -0.572%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.91%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.84%EV -4.02%E -0.738%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 19:53
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.55%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.39%EV -4.02%E -0.738%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:50
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.86%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.99%EV -4.90%E -0.908%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.15%EV -1.56%E -0.324%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -4.90%E -0.908%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -4.90%E -0.908%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.29%E -5.60%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -4.90%E -0.908%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -12.18%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -6.67%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.33%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.55%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.43%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -8.43%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.66%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -8.43%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.31%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -5.03%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.97%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.61%EV -10.01%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.41%EV -4.83%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -10.19%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.01%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.49%EV -7.67%E -5.15%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.14%EV -11.07%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.39%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -1.97%E -0.411%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 19:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -11.57%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:49
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.77%E -7.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -11.95%E -2.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -23.41%E -6.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-21 19:25
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.47%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.47%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.99%E -0.630%K -0.798%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 63.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-02-21 19:55