Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City v Ipswich Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

69 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City (Local)

Prediction 76.73%1.30fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.977%
Kelly +4.03%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.20%76.61%76.76%78.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.241.3285.47%81.06%80.65%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ipswich Town (Visit)

Prediction 9.46%10.57fair odd
EV +10.67%
Edge +0.912%
Kelly +0.997%
Growth +0.106%

assuming max odds 11.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.22%9.46%9.53%11.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.2310.5011.7012.50%9.78%9.52%8.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.81%7.24fair odd
EV +3.55%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.546%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.61%13.93%13.70%15.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.786.807.5016.67%14.74%14.71%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 76.73%; Ipswich Town (Visit): 9.46%; Draw: 13.81%. For Ipswich Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.57. 29 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (69 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.18%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.22%EV +10.67%E +0.912%K +0.997%G +0.106%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.60%EV -2.39%E -0.338%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.07%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.56I 8.65%NM 8.24%EV +9.34%E +0.808%K +0.885%G +0.083%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.69%EV -3.91%E -0.561%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.62%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.87%EV -2.66%E -0.378%K -0.440%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.55%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.55%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.55%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-17 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.78%E +0.763%K +0.836%G +0.073%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.39%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.17%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.31%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +0.098%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.55%E +0.473%K +0.546%G +0.019%5.8%2026-10-17 13:53
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.42%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.05%E +0.368%K +0.405%G +0.016%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.97%EV +2.15%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.55%EV -1.28%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.97%EV +2.15%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.55%EV -1.28%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:55
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.97%EV +2.15%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.55%EV -1.28%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.49%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.97%EV +2.15%E +0.200%K +0.220%G +0.005%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.55%EV -1.28%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:54
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.49%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.98%EV +1.21%E +0.113%K +0.125%G +0.002%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.53%EV -1.97%E -0.278%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.52%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.14%EV -0.210%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.35%EV -7.22%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.31%E -2.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV -0.683%E -0.065%K -0.072%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.20%EV -0.683%E -0.065%K -0.072%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.51%EV -1.28%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -0.683%E -0.065%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -0.683%E -0.065%K -0.072%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.683%E -0.065%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.77%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.35%EV -4.47%E -0.442%K -0.491%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -6.11%E -0.899%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.71%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.59%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
picklebet_au🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.62%E -4.57%K -24.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -11.64%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -11.64%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -7.15%E -5.91%K -34.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -11.64%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -10.22%E -8.74%K -60.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -5.41%E -0.541%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -6.11%E -0.899%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.14%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV -10.14%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.05%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.89%EV -10.14%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -0.592%E -0.082%K -0.096%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.51%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -10.14%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.64%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.14%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -12.51%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.08%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.87%EV -12.51%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.92%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.85%EV -12.51%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -11.64%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.05%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:50
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.08%E -3.27%K -16.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.70%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -29.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.91%EV +0.098%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.73%EV -10.22%E -8.74%K -60.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -14.87%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 13:33
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -17.24%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.11%E -0.899%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.52%EV -4.85%E -3.91%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -17.24%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.77%EV -6.11%E -0.899%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -7.92%E -6.60%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -19.60%E -2.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -6.81%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:45
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV +1.29%E +0.977%K +4.03%G +0.052%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -24.33%E -3.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%0.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.87%1.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Polymarket◎1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-10-17 13:55