Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City v Crystal Palace

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester City (Local)

Prediction 72.66%1.38fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -10.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.10%72.48%72.61%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.94%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crystal Palace (Visit)

Prediction 11.08%9.02fair odd
EV +8.07%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +0.922%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 9.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.98%11.13%11.10%13.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.808.558.709.7514.71%11.70%11.49%10.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.25%6.15fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 6.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.21%16.38%16.30%19.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.755.756.2222.22%17.40%17.39%16.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 72.66%; Crystal Palace (Visit): 11.08%; Draw: 16.25%. For Crystal Palace (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.02. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 74.21%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 10.05%EV +8.07%E +0.828%K +0.922%G +0.074%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.75%EV +1.10%E +0.177%K +0.211%G +0.002%2.1%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.64%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.31%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.848%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.64%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.31%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.848%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.64%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.31%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.848%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.78%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.25%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.848%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 18:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.78%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.25%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.848%E -0.139%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +5.30%E +0.558%K +0.623%G +0.033%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:55
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.54%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.62%EV +1.31%E +0.143%K +0.161%G +0.002%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.84%EV -0.361%E -0.059%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:56
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 18:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:31
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 18:31
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:56
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:55
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -14.66%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 18:54
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:05
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.17%E -7.34%K -36.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:31
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.17%E -7.34%K -36.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.242%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 18:31
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.79%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.92%EV -2.46%E -0.279%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV -4.10%E -0.695%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.79%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.92%EV -2.46%E -0.279%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV -4.10%E -0.695%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.89%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.77%EV -2.46%E -0.279%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -5.72%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -3.01%E -0.344%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -14.66%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.12%EV -3.57%E -0.410%K -0.463%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.56%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.56%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-13 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.69%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV +0.777%E +0.125%K +0.149%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 18:54
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.23%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -12.23%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -22.79%E -4.80%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -9.90%E -7.98%K -41.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -9.90%E -7.98%K -41.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -9.17%E -7.34%K -36.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -5.78%E -0.681%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -26.86%E -5.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 18:30
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.75%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.98%G +0.000%8.16I 12.25%NM 11.41%EV -9.55%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.84%EV -4.42%E -0.752%K -0.907%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.15%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.14I 12.29%NM 11.61%EV -9.77%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.24%EV -5.40%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:56
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.60%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.70%EV -9.17%E -7.34%K -36.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -7.35%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.40%EV -7.72%E -6.08%K -28.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -11.33%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -14.66%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:05
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -8.45%E -6.70%K -32.49%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.54%EV -12.44%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.13%EV -8.16%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.44%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.18%EV -13.54%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -5.72%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:56
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.60%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.90%EV -4.10%E -0.695%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.56%EV -5.54%E -4.26%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -16.87%E -2.25%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -5.72%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.48%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -19.64%E -2.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -3.36%E -2.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -22.41%E -3.20%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.47%E -0.412%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 17:50
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -24.63%E -3.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -5.72%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.65%EV -24.63%E -3.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -5.72%E -0.987%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.94%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.3%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-13 18:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.8%2026-05-13 18:55