Language:English
Manchester City v Aston Villa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Manchester City (Local)
Prediction 67.39%1.48fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.48%67.23%67.60%70.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.391.401.4674.63%71.70%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aston Villa (Visit)
Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.41%14.15%13.76%16.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.726.757.5018.52%14.88%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV +6.91%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.85%18.62%18.64%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.135.205.7523.81%19.48%19.23%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester City (Local): 67.39%; Aston Villa (Visit): 14.02%; Draw: 18.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.02%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.02%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.92%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.05%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.02%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 2.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.22%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.92%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV +0.400%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV +0.400%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV +0.400%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV +0.400%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.15%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +0.400%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.58%EV -2.29%E -1.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.42%EV -1.09%E -0.204%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.13%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.44%EV +0.940%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.43%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.13%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.44%EV +0.940%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.43%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.16%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.64%E -2.54%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.39%EV -4.98%E -3.53%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.37%EV -7.33%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.24%EV -3.13%E -0.601%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.81%EV -2.29%E -1.58%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV -6.77%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.63%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.04%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 14:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.42%EV -3.64%E -2.54%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV -13.08%E -2.11%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.26%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.89%EV -4.98%E -3.53%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -11.68%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.68%E -5.60%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV +0.940%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -6.33%E -4.55%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.51%EV -9.03%E -6.69%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.67%EV -9.70%E -7.24%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.67%EV -9.70%E -7.24%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.62%EV -3.64%E -2.54%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.75%EV -1.44%E -0.205%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.63%EV -3.50%E -0.675%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.29%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.55%EV -4.25%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -1.61%E -1.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%EV -6.49%E -0.973%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.93%EV -4.62%E -0.901%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -9.03%E -6.69%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.18%EV +2.34%E +0.321%K +0.372%G +0.009% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.05%EV -6.11%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.23%EV -3.64%E -2.54%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.54%EV -0.462%E -0.065%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.23%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.98%E -3.53%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -4.31%E -3.03%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.00%E -5.08%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 14:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.03%E -6.69%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +5.15%E +0.686%K +0.792%G +0.041% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.68%E -5.60%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -9.03%E -6.69%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -1.86%E -0.266%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -9.70%E -7.24%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.16%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.38%EV -10.98%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.45%EV -7.97%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.84%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -5.37%E -0.795%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.83%E -2.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 14:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.54%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 14:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.48%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -24.30%E -4.50%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.48%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -24.30%E -4.50%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.48%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -24.30%E -4.50%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -2.96%E -2.06%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -2.96%E -2.06%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.87%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -5.66%E -4.04%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -8.35%E -6.14%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -15.88%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -21.91%E -5.22%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-24 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.38% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.53% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.53% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.53% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.44% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 14:50 |