Language:English
Leeds United v Sunderland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leeds United (Local)
Prediction 52.39%1.91fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.34%52.32%52.44%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.821.8757.47%55.08%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sunderland (Visit)
Prediction 20.70%4.83fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.522%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.82%20.72%20.66%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.534.504.9325.64%22.10%22.22%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.676%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.96%26.90%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.6530.30%28.56%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leeds United (Local): 52.39%; Sunderland (Visit): 20.70%; Draw: 26.91%. For Sunderland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.11%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.82%EV +2.05%E +0.416%K +0.522%G +0.011% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV -2.87%E -0.794%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.20%EV +0.394%E +0.081%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%EV -1.79%E -0.491%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.71%EV -3.60%E -1.95%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -0.641%E -0.134%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.68%E -0.353%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.61%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -1.68%E -0.353%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.36%EV -5.17%E -2.86%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -2.71%E -0.577%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 19:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -7.79%E -4.42%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -2.71%E -0.577%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.41%EV -3.33%E -0.713%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.41%EV -3.33%E -0.713%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.83%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.75%E -0.806%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.49%EV -2.33%E -0.642%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.52%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV -3.75%E -0.806%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 19:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.52%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.56%EV -3.75%E -0.806%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.92%EV -3.95%E -0.852%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.89%EV -2.87%E -0.794%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.11%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.79%E -0.491%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.11%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.79%E -0.491%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.11%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV -1.79%E -0.491%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.65%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -7.26%E -4.10%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.01%EV -6.23%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -2.02%E -1.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 19:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.31%E -4.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -1.79%E -0.491%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.69%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.21%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.14%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.74%E -3.79%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.39%EV -4.12%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -12.03%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.03%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -12.03%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -19.27%E -4.94%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.37% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |