Language:English
Leeds United v Manchester United
Head to Head
Leeds United (Local)
Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.75%30.53%30.53%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2336.36%33.16%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester United (Visit)
Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.05%44.00%43.85%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2450.00%47.17%47.62%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.48%3.93fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.47%25.62%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.653.8429.41%27.52%27.40%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leeds United (Local): 30.59%; Manchester United (Visit): 43.94%; Draw: 25.48%. For Leeds United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.23, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.46%EV -1.21%E -0.374%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.92%EV -1.58%E -0.704%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.62%EV -2.17%E -0.566%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-19 17:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -3.65%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.62%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 17:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.19%E -0.840%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.18%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.71%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.19%E -0.840%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.19%E -0.840%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.19%E -0.840%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.47%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.24%E -2.75%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -8.55%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.29%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.29%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.77%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.18%EV -6.85%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.00%EV -10.38%E -3.54%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.05%EV -7.29%E -3.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -11.60%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.30%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.89%E -5.78%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.38%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 31.65% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 95.1% | 2026-09-19 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 31.65% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 95.1% | 2026-09-19 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 31.65% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 34.18% | 95.1% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |