The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leeds United v Manchester United

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

71 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leeds United (Local)

Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV +0.317%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.36%37.94%38.05%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6443.48%40.24%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester United (Visit)

Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.531%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.06%34.06%33.97%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.17%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV +0.749%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%28.00%27.98%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.56%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leeds United (Local): 38.00%; Manchester United (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 27.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.749%.

Sportsbook Odds (71 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.37%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%EV +0.749%E +0.208%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.37%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%EV +0.749%E +0.208%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.37%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%EV +0.749%E +0.208%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.1%2026-10-18 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.37%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21%EV +0.749%E +0.208%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.68%EV -1.20%E -0.463%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.49%EV -3.40%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.83%EV -1.49%E -0.423%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 12:54
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:53
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:54
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 09:39
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.05%E -0.586%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.20%EV -3.86%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -2.72%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 12:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.20%EV -3.86%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -2.72%E -0.950%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 12:24
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.45%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 12:54
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.90%EV -8.42%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.85%EV -5.78%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 09:09
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -3.10%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.08%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -4.29%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.76%EV -2.34%E -0.912%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.70%EV -2.04%E -0.707%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 12:45
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV +0.317%E +0.120%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.42%EV -7.82%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 12:24
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 12:45
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 12:45
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:24
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:54
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:24
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:54
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 12:54
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 12:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -12.60%E -5.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.56%E -4.45%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 12:34
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.74%EV -1.96%E -0.761%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.46%EV -1.02%E -0.349%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.81%EV -5.41%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-18 12:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.18%EV -6.12%E -2.22%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.08%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 12:28
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 12:43
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 12:29
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -3.06%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 12:31
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 12:29
Caesars🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.14%E -2.61%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 12:34
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 12:24
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.25%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 12:54
Betsson🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.45%EV -3.48%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -6.81%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:54
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.04%E -0.707%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 12:29
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.54%EV -4.24%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 12:54
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:49
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 12:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.76%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 12:34
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.52%EV -9.56%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.70%EV -7.48%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 12:34
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.16%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.05%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.04%E -3.32%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -7.48%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.05%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 12:45
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.86%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 12:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.46%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-10-18 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-10-18 12:55
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-18 12:55
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.82%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-10-18 12:55
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-10-18 12:50
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-10-18 12:30