Language:English
Leeds United v Manchester United
Head to Head
Leeds United (Local)
Prediction 33.44%2.99fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.701%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.35%33.42%33.50%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.822.802.9540.82%35.44%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester United (Visit)
Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd
EV -0.980%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.98%40.56%40.50%41.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4446.51%43.48%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%26.02%26.00%27.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.633.8029.41%27.67%27.59%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leeds United (Local): 33.44%; Manchester United (Visit): 40.58%; Draw: 25.98%. For Manchester United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.44, with an expected value of -0.980%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -4.63%E -1.97%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%EV -2.56%E -0.684%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -1.37%E -0.463%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.50%EV -1.70%E -0.578%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.37%EV -0.980%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.13%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-30 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.04%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.71%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.99%EV -5.85%E -2.52%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -3.71%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.85%E -2.52%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -3.71%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.57%EV -4.38%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.34%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.38%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -1.27%E -0.333%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -4.63%E -1.97%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.38%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -4.63%E -1.97%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.81%EV -4.12%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 04:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.56%E -0.684%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 10:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.56%E -0.684%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 13:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -7.88%E -3.47%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 04:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-30 13:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-30 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -6.38%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.50%E -4.26%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.78%EV -7.38%E -2.67%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 10:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -8.05%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.79%EV -9.50%E -4.26%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.14%EV -9.58%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 04:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.72%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.75%E -5.93%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-28 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -13.07%E -5.03%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.56%E -0.684%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 04:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -18.08%E -7.38%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.75%E -5.93%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-01 04:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.58% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 04:00 |