Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leeds United v Manchester City

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leeds United (Local)

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.332%
Kelly +0.412%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%19.68%19.66%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.804.805.1722.22%20.83%20.83%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester City (Visit)

Prediction 56.41%1.77fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.27%56.33%56.44%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.681.7462.11%59.34%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.91%4.18fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%23.98%23.90%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.934.004.1030.30%25.44%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leeds United (Local): 19.67%; Manchester City (Visit): 56.41%; Draw: 23.91%. For Leeds United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.74%EV +1.72%E +0.332%K +0.412%G +0.007%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.98%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.28%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 17:20
Coolbet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 19.05%EV +1.33%E +0.257%K +0.319%G +0.004%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.03%EV -2.97%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.9%2026-02-28 17:08
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.66%EV +1.33%E +0.257%K +0.319%G +0.004%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.78%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.8%2026-02-28 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-28 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.69%EV -2.67%E -0.657%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%EV +0.342%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.69%EV -2.67%E -0.657%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -1.63%E -0.325%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -4.66%E -2.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -1.63%E -0.325%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.63%E -0.325%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.92%E -4.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:08
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.63%E -0.325%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:01
Pinnacle🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.66%EV -2.61%E -0.527%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.59%EV -2.97%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%EV -1.95%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 17:20
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.44%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:24
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.44%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:24
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.58%EV -4.66%E -2.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:04
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:20
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:19
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:19
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:20
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.02%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.92%E -4.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:30
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.59%E -0.733%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.92%E -4.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.87%EV -4.58%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.97%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 17:09
GTbets🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.63%EV -4.58%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.01%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -6.50%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.72%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:24
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:24
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.66%E -2.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -4.66%E -2.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:04
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.67%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:14
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:04
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:23
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.54%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.92%E -4.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:14
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -7.53%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.53%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.61%E -5.32%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:24
BetUS🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -8.51%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.87%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%EV -3.15%E -0.778%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:05
Fliff🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -8.51%E -1.83%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.50%EV -9.18%E -5.70%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 17:09
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -1.84%E -1.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:09
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:09
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.66%E -2.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:19
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:04
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.50%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 17:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -2.97%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:09
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -2.97%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.46%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -5.79%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -21.09%E -6.39%K -9.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-02-28 17:19
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.47%2.2%2026-02-28 17:14