Language:English
Leeds United v Burnley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leeds United (Local)
Prediction 68.49%1.46fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.18%68.50%68.55%70.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4475.76%72.79%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burnley (Visit)
Prediction 11.64%8.59fair odd
EV +16.39%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.298%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.76%11.65%11.64%12.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.388.2510.0014.29%11.93%12.12%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.87%5.03fair odd
EV -0.633%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.158%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.86%19.80%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.754.755.0025.00%21.07%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leeds United (Local): 68.49%; Burnley (Visit): 11.64%; Draw: 19.87%. For Burnley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.59. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%EV +16.39%E +1.64%K +1.82%G +0.298% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.96%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.27%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.28%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV +10.57%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -6.59%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.27%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV +4.75%E +0.528%K +0.594%G +0.028% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV +4.75%E +0.528%K +0.594%G +0.028% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.82%EV -3.43%E -2.43%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.68I 11.52%NM 11.18%EV +1.03%E +0.118%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.01%EV -3.61%E -0.745%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.30%EV -2.06%E -1.44%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.43%E -2.43%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.17%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -7.59%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.16%EV -3.43%E -2.43%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.17%EV +0.096%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -7.59%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.01%EV -1.38%E -0.957%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.45%EV -0.486%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.53%EV -5.20%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.00%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.63%EV -2.22%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.00%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.63%EV -2.22%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:27 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.59%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.63%EV -9.60%E -7.27%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.59%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.63%EV -9.60%E -7.27%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -1.07%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.59%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.73%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.21%EV -1.53%E -0.181%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.05%EV -6.00%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%EV -2.75%E -1.93%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.54%EV -2.23%E -0.266%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 18:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.91%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -3.98%E -0.482%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.73%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -3.43%E -2.43%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -6.59%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.43%E -2.43%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.85%EV -9.58%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -10.57%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -10.57%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -10.57%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -10.57%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.17%E -4.51%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -12.56%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -15.54%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -6.89%E -0.861%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -10.57%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.66%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.49%EV -7.47%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.80%E -3.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -9.22%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.80%E -3.45%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -9.22%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.49%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.19%EV -9.80%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -7.59%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -2.75%E -1.93%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -6.17%E -4.51%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.62%E -0.535%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.633%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.60%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.71%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.58%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -7.54%E -5.59%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -15.62%E -2.15%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -4.61%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -18.53%E -2.65%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -20.51%E -5.13%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.13% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.13% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.30% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.17% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |