Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ipswich Town v Fulham

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ipswich Town (Local)

Prediction 32.53%3.07fair odd
EV -0.792%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.85%32.55%32.43%33.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.17%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fulham (Visit)

Prediction 40.12%2.49fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.10%40.12%40.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.332.4446.51%43.14%42.83%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.35%27.45%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.43%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ipswich Town (Local): 32.53%; Fulham (Visit): 40.12%; Draw: 27.35%. For Ipswich Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -0.792%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%EV -0.792%E -0.260%K -0.386%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%EV -2.10%E -0.863%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%EV -1.53%E -0.426%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-12 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -3.71%E -1.55%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -3.17%E -0.897%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 18:25
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:11
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -6.32%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.32%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 17:11
MyBookie.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.37%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.91%EV -6.92%E -2.98%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -8.64%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -1.53%E -0.426%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.72%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 19:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.73%E -4.32%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:10
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -8.52%E -3.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.70%EV -10.29%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.18%EV -9.57%E -3.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.30%EV -10.93%E -4.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 17:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.73%E -5.33%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.43%E -5.93%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.74%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 41.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%125.9%2026-09-12 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 41.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%125.9%2026-09-12 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 41.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%1.52I 65.79%NM 29.12%125.9%2026-09-12 19:25