The School of OddsHull City v Manchester United
Head to Head
Option 1: Hull City (Local)
Odds
5.3018.87%Min
6.4415.53%Mean
6.4015.63%Median
7.5013.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
12.58%7.948Min
15.92%6.280Max
13.96%7.162Mean
14.00%7.144Median
13.91%7.189IQM
13.83%7.231Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.50 under the IQM model: 13.91%
EV +4.33%Edge +0.577%Kelly +0.666%Growth +0.029%
Option 2: Manchester United (Visit)
Odds
1.3474.63%Min
1.4369.79%Mean
1.4469.44%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
62.98%1.588Min
66.45%1.505Max
65.17%1.534Mean
65.12%1.536Median
65.23%1.533IQM
65.27%1.532Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 65.23%
EV -2.15%Edge -1.44%Kelly -4.31%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.0025.00%Min
4.4722.35%Mean
4.5022.22%Median
4.8020.83%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.72%5.072Min
22.56%4.432Max
20.87%4.793Mean
20.88%4.788Median
20.86%4.794IQM
20.90%4.785Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.86%
EV +0.120%Edge +0.025%Kelly +0.032%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Hull City (Local) ▼ | Manchester United (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.58%EV +4.33% E +0.577% K +0.666% G +0.029% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.45%EV -7.37% E -5.19% K -17.55% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.97%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| 1xBet | 7.42I 13.48% NM 13.24%EV +3.22% E +0.434% K +0.501% G +0.016% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 65.50%EV -2.15% E -1.44% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65% NM 21.26%EV -3.63% E -0.787% K -1.00% G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.30I 13.70% NM 13.27%EV +1.55% E +0.212% K +0.246% G +0.004% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 65.44%EV -3.46% E -2.34% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98% NM 21.29%EV -5.09% E -1.12% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-28 11:37 |
| Coolbet | 7.20I 13.89% NM 13.25%EV +0.158% E +0.022% K +0.025% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.79%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98% NM 20.96%EV -5.09% E -1.12% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.05I 14.18% NM 13.49%EV -1.93% E -0.274% K -0.319% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.60%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98% NM 20.91%EV -5.09% E -1.12% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.05I 14.18% NM 13.49%EV -1.93% E -0.274% K -0.319% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.60%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98% NM 20.91%EV -5.09% E -1.12% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.54%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.84%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.61%EV -4.05% E -0.881% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.54%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.39%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.07%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| FanDuel | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.54%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.29%EV -6.72% E -4.70% K -15.63% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 20.17%EV -1.97% E -0.418% K -0.531% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 14:10 |
| betfred_uk | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.48%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.54%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.97%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Caesars | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.48%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.08%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.45%EV -8.22% E -1.87% K -2.42% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 11:38 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.24%EV -2.62% E -0.375% K -0.437% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.18%EV -8.68% E -6.20% K -21.69% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.59%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.88I 14.53% NM 13.59%EV -4.29% E -0.624% K -0.730% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.50%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42% NM 21.90%EV -10.94% E -2.56% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 11:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.80I 14.71% NM 14.01%EV -5.41% E -0.795% K -0.932% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.71%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 20.27%EV -1.97% E -0.418% K -0.531% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Everygame | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.64%EV -6.10% E -0.904% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 63.92%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -14.48% E -3.53% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 01:25 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.56%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.72%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.72%EV +0.120% E +0.025% K +0.032% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.56%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.72%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.72%EV +0.120% E +0.025% K +0.032% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.37%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.87%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.76%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.30%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.09%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.61%EV -10.31% E -2.40% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-22 06:39 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -9.68% E -2.24% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.24%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.19%EV -7.37% E -5.19% K -17.55% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.57%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
| BetMGM | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -8.68% E -6.20% K -21.69% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -4.05% E -0.881% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.88%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 63.55%EV -7.37% E -5.19% K -17.55% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -16.57% E -4.14% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.56%EV -9.58% E -1.47% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 62.94%EV -8.68% E -6.20% K -21.69% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.50%EV -21.78% E -5.81% K -7.92% G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.72%EV -10.97% E -1.71% K -2.03% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.44%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.84%EV -0.923% E -0.194% K -0.246% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Neds | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.72%EV -10.97% E -1.71% K -2.03% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.44%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.84%EV -0.923% E -0.194% K -0.246% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 6.40I 15.63% NM 13.56%EV -10.97% E -1.71% K -2.03% G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63% NM 64.75%EV -12.59% E -9.40% K -37.03% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.69%EV -16.57% E -4.14% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 6.30I 15.87% NM 14.56%EV -12.36% E -1.96% K -2.33% G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42% NM 64.59%EV -7.37% E -5.19% K -17.55% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.85%EV -8.22% E -1.87% K -2.42% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| ReBet | 6.30I 15.87% NM 14.42%EV -12.36% E -1.96% K -2.33% G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92% NM 64.44%EV -8.02% E -5.69% K -19.57% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.13%EV -10.31% E -2.40% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.24%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.11%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.66%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.24%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.11%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.66%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.24%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.11%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.66%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:49 |
| Casumo | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 6.10I 16.39% NM 15.17%EV -15.14% E -2.48% K -2.97% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.26%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.56%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 06:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.45%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.94%EV -5.42% E -3.73% K -12.03% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.60%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 19:40 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.10%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.51%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.10%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.51%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 13:00 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.10%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.51%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.10%EV -6.07% E -4.21% K -13.79% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.51%EV -6.14% E -1.36% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.24%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92% NM 64.87%EV -8.02% E -5.69% K -19.57% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.88%EV -4.05% E -0.881% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.71%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53% NM 64.90%EV -11.29% E -8.30% K -31.35% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 20.39%EV -9.68% E -2.24% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.61%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99% NM 64.00%EV -10.63% E -7.76% K -28.74% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.39%EV -14.48% E -3.53% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.58%EV -16.54% E -2.76% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53% NM 64.33%EV -11.29% E -8.30% K -31.35% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 21.08%EV -13.44% E -3.24% K -4.27% G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87% NM 15.92%EV -26.27% E -4.96% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63% NM 62.98%EV -12.59% E -9.40% K -37.03% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.10%EV -16.57% E -4.14% K -5.52% G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-04 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Hull City (Local) | Manchester United (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.40I 13.51% | 1.47I 68.03% | 4.60I 21.74% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.40I 13.51% | 1.47I 68.03% | 4.60I 21.74% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.40I 13.51% | 1.47I 68.03% | 4.60I 21.74% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54% | 1.36I 73.53% | 4.00I 25.00% | 16.1% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |