The School of OddsFulham v Chelsea
Head to Head
Option 1: Fulham (Local)
Odds
2.6537.74%Min
3.0832.44%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.2530.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.35%3.528Min
32.39%3.087Max
30.77%3.250Mean
31.13%3.212Median
31.06%3.219IQM
30.77%3.250Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 31.06%
EV +0.960%Edge +0.295%Kelly +0.427%Growth +0.004%
Option 2: Chelsea (Visit)
Odds
1.9850.51%Min
2.1147.32%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.3243.10%Max
Consensus probabilities
41.11%2.433Min
46.06%2.171Max
43.33%2.308Mean
42.91%2.330Median
43.01%2.325IQM
43.32%2.308Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.32 under the IQM model: 43.01%
EV -0.222%Edge -0.096%Kelly -0.168%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.6027.78%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.78%4.036Min
26.88%3.720Max
25.91%3.860Mean
25.95%3.853Median
25.93%3.857IQM
25.91%3.860Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.93%
EV -1.48%Edge -0.388%Kelly -0.527%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Fulham (Local) ▼ | Chelsea (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 29.31%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.11I 47.39% NM 45.15%EV -9.25% E -4.39% K -8.34% G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81% NM 25.54%EV -3.29% E -0.882% K -1.21% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -11.83% E -5.77% K -11.27% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 19:40 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 18:49 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02% NM 45.57%EV -12.26% E -6.01% K -11.79% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 06:59 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.06%EV -13.98% E -6.99% K -13.98% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.59%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.06%EV -13.98% E -6.99% K -13.98% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.59%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 13:00 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.06%EV -13.98% E -6.99% K -13.98% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.59%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV +0.960% E +0.295% K +0.427% G +0.004% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.06%EV -13.98% E -6.99% K -13.98% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.59%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.21%EV -2.15% E -0.681% K -0.998% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 43.86%EV -6.67% E -3.08% K -5.70% G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25% NM 25.93%EV -4.85% E -1.32% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.21%EV -2.15% E -0.681% K -0.998% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 43.86%EV -6.67% E -3.08% K -5.70% G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25% NM 25.93%EV -4.85% E -1.32% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.13I 31.95% NM 31.47%EV -2.77% E -0.884% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10% NM 42.46%EV -0.222% E -0.096% K -0.168% G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46% NM 26.06%EV -1.99% E -0.527% K -0.717% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.70%EV -3.70% E -1.19% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.26%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.04%EV -1.48% E -0.388% K -0.527% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.59%EV -3.70% E -1.19% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.11%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.29%EV -2.77% E -0.739% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.59%EV -3.70% E -1.19% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.11%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.29%EV -2.77% E -0.739% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.35%EV -3.70% E -1.19% K -1.76% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.77%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.88%EV -9.25% E -2.64% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 06:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47% NM 31.46%EV -4.32% E -1.40% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 42.50%EV -1.94% E -0.852% K -1.52% G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88% NM 26.05%EV -3.55% E -0.954% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.16%EV -5.25% E -1.72% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05% NM 42.81%EV -4.52% E -2.04% K -3.71% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.04%EV -5.36% E -1.47% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 07:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.94%EV -5.25% E -1.72% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.89%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.17%EV -2.77% E -0.739% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.58%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.11%EV -3.23% E -1.44% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 06:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.28%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.65%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.07%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 07:49 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.28%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.65%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.07%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 07:49 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.28%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.65%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.07%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 07:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.28%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.65%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.07%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 07:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.97%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.25%EV -9.68% E -4.61% K -8.80% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.78%EV -2.77% E -0.739% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.75%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.90%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -9.25% E -2.64% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.66%EV -6.81% E -2.27% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.80%EV -9.68% E -4.61% K -8.80% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.55%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.10%EV -8.36% E -2.83% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.68%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.22%EV -9.25% E -2.64% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-22 07:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94I 34.01% NM 32.06%EV -8.67% E -2.95% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84% NM 42.26%EV -4.09% E -1.84% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25% NM 25.68%EV -4.85% E -1.32% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 06:39 |
| ReBet | 2.92I 34.25% NM 31.15%EV -9.29% E -3.18% K -4.84% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 42.71%EV -8.39% E -3.94% K -7.43% G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74% NM 26.14%EV -9.77% E -2.81% K -3.94% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-03 07:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.01%EV -9.91% E -3.42% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.20%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 06:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.01%EV -9.91% E -3.42% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.20%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-23 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.59%EV -9.91% E -3.42% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.61%EV -7.53% E -3.50% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.80%EV -7.96% E -2.24% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-02 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.49%EV -9.91% E -3.42% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.49%EV -9.68% E -4.61% K -8.80% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.02%EV -5.36% E -1.47% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-03 07:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72% NM 30.98%EV -10.53% E -3.66% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 43.53%EV -11.83% E -5.77% K -11.27% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.49%EV -9.25% E -2.64% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.39%EV -11.47% E -4.02% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.96%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.64%EV -6.66% E -1.85% K -2.56% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-03 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09% NM 30.97%EV -11.47% E -4.02% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 43.06%EV -11.83% E -5.77% K -11.27% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.96%EV -11.85% E -3.48% K -4.94% G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-03 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85I 35.09% NM 30.77%EV -11.47% E -4.02% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26% NM 43.20%EV -12.69% E -6.25% K -12.32% G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67% NM 26.02%EV -12.62% E -3.75% K -5.33% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-03 07:04 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71% NM 32.30%EV -13.02% E -4.65% K -7.23% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.11%EV -5.38% E -2.45% K -4.49% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.60%EV -11.85% E -3.48% K -4.94% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36% NM 31.62%EV -14.57% E -5.30% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 42.42%EV -11.83% E -5.77% K -11.27% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 25.96%EV -13.14% E -3.92% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74% NM 31.71%EV -17.68% E -6.67% K -10.71% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 42.44%EV -14.84% E -7.50% K -15.15% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 25.85%EV -15.74% E -4.84% K -6.99% G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-22 06:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Fulham (Local) | Chelsea (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79% | 2.30I 43.48% | 3.80I 26.32% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79% | 2.30I 43.48% | 3.80I 26.32% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.30I 43.48% | 3.80I 26.32% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 10:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23% | 2.02I 49.50% | 3.30I 30.30% | 16.0% | 2026-07-03 07:05 |