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Everton v Manchester United

2026-09-06 13:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton (Local)

Prediction 33.82%2.96fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.65%33.84%33.77%35.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.722.9040.00%36.67%36.76%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester United (Visit)

Prediction 38.34%2.61fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.34%38.35%38.34%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.5844.44%40.96%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.81%27.90%28.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.5431.75%29.70%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Everton (Local): 33.82%; Manchester United (Visit): 38.34%; Draw: 27.84%. For Manchester United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.58, with an expected value of -1.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%EV -1.91%E -0.660%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%EV -1.09%E -0.421%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.83%EV -1.45%E -0.410%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -1.91%E -0.660%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.00%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.15%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -3.12%E -0.897%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.15%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:09
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.15%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 14:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.15%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -8.75%E -3.68%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:00
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.80%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.96%EV -6.45%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -8.69%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.15%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.15%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.68%E -3.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -9.14%E -3.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 16:04
ReBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 33.83%EV -9.02%E -3.35%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.26%EV -10.36%E -3.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.82%E -5.14%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.92%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 16:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -11.05%E -4.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.07%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.44%E -6.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -13.74%E -6.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -12.31%E -3.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%6.0%2026-08-23 18:19
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.78%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%16.6%2026-08-23 16:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 39.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 21.80%1.13I 88.50%NM 38.58%129.4%2026-08-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 39.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 21.80%1.13I 88.50%NM 38.58%129.4%2026-08-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 39.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 20.95%1.06I 94.34%NM 39.53%138.7%2026-08-23 15:30