Language:English
Everton v Manchester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Everton (Local)
Prediction 14.43%6.93fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +0.917%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 7.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.95%14.40%14.47%15.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.646.507.4016.67%15.07%15.38%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester City (Visit)
Prediction 65.73%1.52fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.16%65.66%65.76%67.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.5072.46%69.69%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd
EV -0.817%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.204%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.71%19.95%19.78%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.734.755.0025.00%21.14%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton (Local): 14.43%; Manchester City (Visit): 65.73%; Draw: 19.84%. For Everton (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.93. 27 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.95%EV +6.79%E +0.917%K +1.06%G +0.072% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.49%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -2.80%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.15%EV +6.07%E +0.825%K +0.955%G +0.058% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV -2.80%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.15%EV +6.07%E +0.825%K +0.955%G +0.058% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV -2.80%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.40%EV +4.62%E +0.638%K +0.740%G +0.034% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.62%EV -1.81%E -0.365%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV +4.62%E +0.638%K +0.740%G +0.034% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.79%E -0.782%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 18:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.60%EV +3.90%E +0.542%K +0.629%G +0.025% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.62%EV -3.37%E -2.29%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.78%EV -1.81%E -0.365%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.68%EV +2.31%E +0.326%K +0.380%G +0.009% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.41%EV -4.03%E -2.76%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -3.40%E -0.697%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.71%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.10%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.02%E +0.145%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV -1.87%E -0.275%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.03%E -2.76%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.16%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -2.59%E -0.384%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV -3.31%E -0.495%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.32%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.79%EV -5.48%E -0.836%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.06%E -1.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.10%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 18:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.00%E -4.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -6.77%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.20%E -0.954%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.64%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.26%EV -4.03%E -2.76%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -7.64%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -9.29%E -6.73%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.25%EV -9.09%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.81%EV -3.79%E -0.782%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.25%EV -9.09%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.81%EV -3.79%E -0.782%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.09%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.11%EV -4.03%E -2.76%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -4.78%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -9.81%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -9.81%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.78%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -9.81%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -9.81%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.817%E -0.163%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -9.81%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.24%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -2.80%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -1.40%E -0.934%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.72%E -1.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.75%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.73%E -2.39%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.71%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -14.11%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -20.65%E -5.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 18:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.70% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 17:05 |