Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crystal Palace v Liverpool

2026-11-08 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crystal Palace (Local)

Prediction 20.17%4.96fair odd
EV +0.827%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.12%20.19%20.19%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.474.405.0025.00%22.37%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liverpool (Visit)

Prediction 57.73%1.73fair odd
EV -0.131%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.38%57.64%57.68%58.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.7364.94%61.46%61.73%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%22.18%22.14%23.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.184.204.4425.32%23.95%23.81%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Crystal Palace (Local): 20.17%; Liverpool (Visit): 57.73%; Draw: 22.11%. For Crystal Palace (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.827%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV +0.827%E +0.165%K +0.207%G +0.002%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.90%E -3.62%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 17:35
1xBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.77%EV -4.21%E -0.887%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.02%EV -0.131%E -0.076%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.22%EV -1.85%E -0.416%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.4%2026-10-24 18:05
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -4.21%E -0.887%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 17:35
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -5.22%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -2.73%E -0.621%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 17:15
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 18:49
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.21%E -5.17%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -2.73%E -0.621%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 17:20
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.06%E -4.38%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 17:14
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:31
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 18:31
picklebet_au🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:15
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:15
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.27%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -12.28%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.19%EV -9.94%E -6.37%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.64%E -4.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.21%EV -10.52%E -6.79%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 17:15
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -14.30%E -3.36%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 18:35
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -15.30%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -19.34%E -4.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.34%EV -11.10%E -7.21%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.97%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-24 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-10-24 18:40