Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coventry City v Sunderland

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coventry City (Local)

Prediction 35.25%2.84fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%35.25%35.27%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.612.7941.67%38.25%38.31%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sunderland (Visit)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.82%36.68%36.83%37.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.502.6742.55%39.56%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.07%27.91%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.303.5331.75%30.01%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coventry City (Local): 35.25%; Sunderland (Visit): 36.80%; Draw: 27.95%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.53, with an expected value of -1.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV -1.65%E -0.591%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.85%EV -1.74%E -0.652%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.88%EV -1.35%E -0.381%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-17 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.06%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.25%EV -4.12%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.87%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 17:45
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.82%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.58%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 17:45
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.58%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 17:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.58%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.58%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.58%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.18%E -0.624%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 17:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.33%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.45%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -8.33%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:30
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.64%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.18%E -0.624%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 17:30
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 17:35
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 18:00
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 18:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 17:55
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 17:30
ReBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.38%EV -9.40%E -3.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -10.01%E -3.11%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.11%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.11%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.96%EV -10.94%E -4.52%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.11%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.87%E -4.75%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -15.40%E -6.42%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%10.2%2026-10-17 18:05