Language:English
Chelsea v Nottingham Forest
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chelsea (Local)
Prediction 67.00%1.49fair odd
EV +0.504%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.26%66.83%67.01%69.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.421.421.5078.74%70.46%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nottingham Forest (Visit)
Prediction 13.03%7.68fair odd
EV +4.23%
Edge +0.529%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.83%13.20%13.17%15.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.057.008.0016.67%14.18%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.97%5.01fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.69%19.97%19.82%21.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.694.705.0325.00%21.34%21.28%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chelsea (Local): 67.00%; Nottingham Forest (Visit): 13.03%; Draw: 19.97%. For Nottingham Forest (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.68. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.02%EV +4.23%E +0.529%K +0.604%G +0.026% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.02%EV +4.23%E +0.529%K +0.604%G +0.026% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +4.23%E +0.529%K +0.604%G +0.026% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.01%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.52%EV +1.88%E +0.241%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.47%EV +0.442%E +0.088%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.43%EV +1.62%E +0.208%K +0.239%G +0.004% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -2.15%E -0.440%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.73%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV +0.972%E +0.125%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -2.15%E -0.440%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.62%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.56%EV +0.321%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.82%EV -2.55%E -0.523%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.62%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.56%EV +0.321%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.82%EV -2.55%E -0.523%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.33%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -4.15%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.33%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -4.15%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.88%E -6.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -2.28%E -0.305%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.05%EV -5.53%E -3.92%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.04%EV -5.54%E -0.764%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.19%EV -14.91%E -11.74%K -55.21%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.12%EV -5.54%E -0.764%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.53%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.53%EV -6.45%E -0.899%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.94%EV -2.75%E -0.565%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.15%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.15%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -7.15%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.63%EV -6.87%E -4.94%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.80%E -1.26%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.28%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.92%EV -9.45%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.79%EV -2.35%E -0.481%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -11.40%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.88%EV +0.504%E +0.336%K +1.01%G +0.005% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.88%EV +0.504%E +0.336%K +1.01%G +0.005% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.88%EV +0.504%E +0.336%K +1.01%G +0.005% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -0.836%E -0.565%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.85%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.14%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -12.14%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.99%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -12.06%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -7.15%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.157%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.14%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -8.88%E -6.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -15.31%E -2.36%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -20.13%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-04 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -16.62%E -2.60%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.57%E -2.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -4.19%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -21.83%E -3.64%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.14%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 13:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.1% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 13:55 |