Language:English
Chelsea v Burnley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chelsea (Local)
Prediction 77.65%1.29fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.57%77.64%79.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.96%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burnley (Visit)
Prediction 8.01%12.49fair odd
EV +12.11%
Edge +0.865%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.113%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.87%8.05%7.89%9.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.8412.0014.0010.53%8.45%8.33%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.34%6.97fair odd
EV +4.68%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.743%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 7.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.10%14.38%14.46%16.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.606.507.3018.18%15.16%15.38%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chelsea (Local): 77.65%; Burnley (Visit): 8.01%; Draw: 14.34%. For Burnley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.49. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.87%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%EV +12.11%E +0.865%K +0.931%G +0.113% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.01%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.00%EV +12.11%E +0.865%K +0.931%G +0.113% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.01%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.00%EV +12.11%E +0.865%K +0.931%G +0.113% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.14%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.95%EV +12.11%E +0.865%K +0.931%G +0.113% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.87%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV +12.11%E +0.865%K +0.931%G +0.113% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.04%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.43%EV +4.68%E +0.642%K +0.743%G +0.035% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.51%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.49%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 14.01%EV -0.335%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.03%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.59%E -6.38%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.59%E -6.38%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.59%E -6.38%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.10%E +0.315%K +0.342%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.65%EV +0.896%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -1.05%E -0.152%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.65%EV +0.896%E +0.071%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -1.05%E -0.152%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.79%EV -8.37%E -7.09%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +0.095%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.50%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.82%EV -1.91%E -0.156%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 06:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -10.37%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 13:46 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.64%EV -7.59%E -6.38%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -1.05%E -0.152%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -3.91%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.86%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.35%EV -7.91%E -0.688%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -7.91%E -0.688%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -7.91%E -0.688%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +0.382%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.34%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -9.91%E -0.881%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.20%EV -3.92%E -0.585%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.18%EV -1.38%E -1.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.64%EV -10.31%E -0.921%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.19%EV -8.65%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 11.04I 9.06%NM 8.65%EV -11.60%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.93%EV -8.22%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.89%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.45%EV -5.35%E -0.811%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:43 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.37%E -7.09%K -46.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -11.92%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -21.13%E -3.84%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.16%EV -7.59%E -6.38%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 10.95I 9.13%NM 8.38%EV -12.32%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.46%EV -8.94%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -15.92%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.11%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.85%EV -5.26%E -4.32%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -15.92%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +3.97%E +0.547%K +0.635%G +0.025% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -15.92%E -1.52%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.22%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -19.92%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -2.93%E -2.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -19.92%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -19.92%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.72%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.52%EV -21.93%E -2.25%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.75%EV -3.20%E -0.475%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -23.93%E -2.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.37%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -23.93%E -2.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.37%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |