Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burnley v Manchester City

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Burnley 0–1 Manchester City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burnley (Local)

Prediction 5.53%18.10fair odd
EV +21.56%
Edge +0.980%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.221%

assuming max odds 22.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.36%5.57%5.59%7.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0017.2817.0022.008.33%5.79%5.88%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manchester City (Visit)

Prediction 83.23%1.20fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -9.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.54%83.27%83.20%85.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1890.91%87.67%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.24%8.90fair odd
EV +8.47%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +0.979%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 9.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.91%11.16%11.22%13.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.448.509.6514.29%11.85%11.76%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burnley (Local): 5.53%; Manchester City (Visit): 83.23%; Draw: 11.24%. For Burnley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.10. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 22.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯22.00I 4.55%NM 4.46%EV +21.56%E +0.980%K +1.03%G +0.221%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.23%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.32%EV +6.78%E +0.714%K +0.798%G +0.054%2.0%2026-04-22 18:24
NordicBet🎯22.00I 4.55%NM 4.36%EV +21.56%E +0.980%K +1.03%G +0.221%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.35%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.29%EV -12.33%E -1.58%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:45
Betsson🎯22.00I 4.55%NM 4.36%EV +21.56%E +0.980%K +1.03%G +0.221%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.35%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.29%EV -12.33%E -1.58%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70%EV +16.04%E +0.764%K +0.802%G +0.129%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%1.3%2026-04-22 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +16.04%E +0.764%K +0.802%G +0.129%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.66%EV +16.04%E +0.764%K +0.802%G +0.129%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.88%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +16.04%E +0.764%K +0.802%G +0.129%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.56%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%2.8%2026-04-22 18:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +16.04%E +0.764%K +0.802%G +0.129%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.82%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.48%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%3.8%2026-04-22 18:45
Unibet🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:44
Casumo🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:44
Grosvenor🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:44
TABtouch🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:44
betPARX🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:45
Bally Bet🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 18:45
BetRivers🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.19%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
LeoVegas🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +10.51%E +0.526%K +0.553%G +0.058%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.19%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯19.25I 5.19%NM 5.02%EV +6.37%E +0.331%K +0.349%G +0.022%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.11%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.87%EV +0.038%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 18:54
BoyleSports🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.99%E +0.262%K +0.277%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.16%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Caesars🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.99%E +0.262%K +0.277%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.16%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:14
PlayUp🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.99%E +0.262%K +0.277%G +0.014%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -15.70%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:44
Dabble (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +4.99%E +0.262%K +0.277%G +0.014%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -15.70%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +4.99%E +0.262%K +0.277%G +0.014%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -7.61%E -6.86%K -69.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Pinnacle🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.26%EV +2.22%E +0.120%K +0.127%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.92%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.82%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%2.7%2026-04-22 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.23%EV +3.97%E +0.429%K +0.481%G +0.019%5.7%2026-04-22 18:34
SportsBet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-22 18:55
FanDuel🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Sky Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.23%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.85%EV -7.61%E -6.86%K -69.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +6.78%E +0.714%K +0.798%G +0.054%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:40
Fanatics🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -8.44%E -7.67%K -84.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -0.539%E -0.030%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -8.44%E -7.67%K -84.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:44
DraftKings🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -6.06%E -0.357%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.13%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 18:50
Bet Victor🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -6.06%E -0.357%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:44
Everygame🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -6.06%E -0.357%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Paddy Power🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -6.06%E -0.357%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -7.61%E -6.86%K -69.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%7.1%2026-04-22 18:54
TAB🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -6.06%E -0.357%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -21.32%E -3.05%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:49
1xBet🎯16.60I 6.02%NM 5.86%EV -8.28%E -0.499%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.79%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.35%EV +5.55%E +0.591%K +0.661%G +0.037%2.9%2026-04-22 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.86%EV -8.83%E -0.535%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.11%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 10.02%EV +8.47%E +0.878%K +0.979%G +0.083%3.4%2026-04-20 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.86%EV -8.83%E -0.535%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.11%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 10.02%EV +8.47%E +0.878%K +0.979%G +0.083%3.4%2026-04-20 21:30
GTbets🎯16.09I 6.22%NM 6.05%EV -11.09%E -0.689%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.52%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.43%EV -4.23%E -0.497%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -11.59%E -0.724%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -11.59%E -0.724%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.73%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.33%EV -5.58%E -0.665%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -11.59%E -0.724%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV +6.78%E +0.714%K +0.798%G +0.054%6.1%2026-04-22 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -11.59%E -0.724%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.94%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.26%EV -7.27%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯15.75I 6.35%NM 6.03%EV -12.97%E -0.824%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.54%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.44%EV -6.71%E -0.808%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:53
Fliff🎯15.45I 6.47%NM 5.92%EV -14.63%E -0.947%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.13%EV -8.44%E -7.67%K -84.42%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 10.95%EV -6.14%E -0.736%K -0.836%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:55
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -15.70%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +6.78%E +0.714%K +0.798%G +0.054%5.7%2026-04-22 18:55
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -7.27%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:45
BetUS🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.30%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.23%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -7.27%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:44
William Hill🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:30
theScore Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:45
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.11%E -4.49%K -36.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -17.12%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -21.32%E -3.05%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:24
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -22.64%E -1.62%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -22.64%E -1.62%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.70%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -22.64%E -1.62%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -5.95%E -5.26%K -45.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +1.16%E +0.129%K +0.145%G +0.002%6.7%2026-04-22 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -22.64%E -1.62%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.52%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -28.17%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:45
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -28.17%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:44
BetMGM🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -28.17%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.46%E -0.524%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:44
Neds🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -33.69%E -2.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -33.69%E -2.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.45%E -2.97%K -21.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -10.08%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%0.8%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.56%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%0.8%2026-04-22 18:55
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.39%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%1.0%2026-04-22 18:50
Smarkets22.99I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.84%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%1.3%2026-04-22 18:55
Kalshi20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.34%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.76%2.2%2026-04-22 18:30