Language:English
Burnley v Aston Villa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burnley (Local)
Prediction 17.18%5.82fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.615%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.79%17.22%17.22%18.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.465.506.0020.00%18.30%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aston Villa (Visit)
Prediction 59.99%1.67fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.37%59.90%59.98%61.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.92%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV -0.215%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.95%22.88%22.80%25.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.094.104.3728.57%24.44%24.39%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burnley (Local): 17.18%; Aston Villa (Visit): 59.99%; Draw: 22.83%. For Burnley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +3.08%E +0.513%K +0.615%G +0.019% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.36%E +0.230%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.32%EV +1.36%E +0.230%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.49%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.83%EV +0.328%E +0.056%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.49%EV -0.215%E -0.049%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.88%EV -0.360%E -0.062%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.08%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.04%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.82%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.82%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.82%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.90%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.75%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -0.671%E -0.154%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -1.81%E -0.422%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.56%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.59%EV -2.04%E -0.476%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.22%E -0.212%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.34%EV -2.94%E -0.520%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.73%EV -1.62%E -0.989%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.94%EV -2.50%E -0.585%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.11%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.52%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.08%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.80%E -0.678%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV -4.65%E -0.839%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.92%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV -4.65%E -0.839%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.92%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.96%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -1.81%E -0.422%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.22%E -3.30%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.22%E -3.30%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.22%E -3.30%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.76%EV -8.09%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.23%EV -6.61%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:41 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -8.95%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -8.95%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -1.81%E -0.422%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -1.02%E -0.620%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -9.81%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -3.42%E -2.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -5.24%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.22%E -3.30%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -1.81%E -0.422%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -10.67%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 08:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -20.08%E -5.74%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |