Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion v Chelsea

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC

Final: Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV +0.336%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.28%41.27%42.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4345.45%43.41%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chelsea (Visit)

Prediction 31.32%3.19fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.191%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.06%31.28%31.34%33.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1835.71%33.43%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.294%
Kelly +0.403%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.44%27.40%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.453.6933.33%28.99%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 41.29%; Chelsea (Visit): 31.32%; Draw: 27.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.16%EV -0.077%E -0.032%K -0.054%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.51%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.34%EV +1.08%E +0.294%K +0.403%G +0.004%2.9%2026-04-21 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.38%E -0.384%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.60%EV -0.903%E -0.376%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.09%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.47%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-21 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.39%EV -0.903%E -0.376%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.39%EV -0.903%E -0.376%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.15%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.60%EV -4.17%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.15%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.60%EV -4.17%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -2.75%E -0.775%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.33%EV -2.14%E -0.904%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.67%EV -3.03%E -0.855%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.79%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.87%EV -1.67%E -0.532%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.73%EV -3.79%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -0.416%E -0.131%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.70%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 18:40
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:45
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:30
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:48
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:45
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -2.55%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.35%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:53
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -1.36%E -0.430%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -3.79%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -6.99%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.18%EV -3.79%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:43
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.82%E -5.94%K -8.91%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-21 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-04-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-04-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-04-21 18:50
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-04-21 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-21 18:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-04-21 18:55