Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion v Brentford

2026-11-08 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.93%51.12%51.35%52.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.22%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brentford (Visit)

Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%24.00%23.85%25.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.804.2228.57%26.29%26.32%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -0.198%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.87%24.80%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.754.0227.78%26.43%26.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 51.21%; Brentford (Visit): 23.97%; Draw: 24.83%. For Brentford (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.22, producing a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.35%EV +1.14%E +0.270%K +0.354%G +0.004%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.51%EV -0.198%E -0.049%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-24 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.13%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.81%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.53%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 17:18
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -0.695%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 17:31
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 17:19
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:31
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -9.36%E -5.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.18%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:31
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -9.36%E -5.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 17:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -9.36%E -5.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.695%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 17:31
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.695%E -0.174%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 17:31
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.18%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -8.85%E -4.97%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.18%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.67%EV -11.41%E -6.60%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 17:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.92%E -6.93%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.32%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -12.52%E -3.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 18:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.23%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -12.95%E -7.62%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -16.12%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-24 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-10-24 17:50