The School of OddsBrighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa
Head to Head
Option 1: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)
Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.2344.82%Mean
2.2344.84%Median
2.3742.19%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.15%2.491Min
42.50%2.353Max
41.85%2.390Mean
41.88%2.388Median
41.95%2.384IQM
41.92%2.385Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.37 under the IQM model: 41.95%
EV -0.568%Edge -0.240%Kelly -0.415%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Aston Villa (Visit)
Odds
2.5539.22%Min
2.8535.09%Mean
2.8535.09%Median
3.0932.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.34%3.190Min
34.20%2.924Max
32.40%3.086Mean
32.39%3.088Median
32.27%3.098IQM
32.34%3.092Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.09 under the IQM model: 32.27%
EV -0.270%Edge -0.087%Kelly -0.129%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.6227.64%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.9025.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.38%4.102Min
26.87%3.722Max
25.75%3.883Mean
25.73%3.886Median
25.77%3.880IQM
25.74%3.885Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 25.77%
EV +0.505%Edge +0.130%Kelly +0.174%Growth +0.001%
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Brighton and Hove Albion (Local) | Aston Villa (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.26%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.36%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.38%EV +0.505% E +0.130% K +0.174% G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10% NM 42.46%EV -2.67% E -1.15% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36% NM 31.88%EV -0.270% E -0.087% K -0.129% G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04% NM 25.65%EV -1.04% E -0.271% K -0.366% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-06-27 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.99%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.15%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.86%EV -2.07% E -0.545% K -0.740% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.29%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.23%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -2.07% E -0.545% K -0.740% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.29%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.23%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -2.07% E -0.545% K -0.740% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 05:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86% NM 42.50%EV -4.34% E -1.91% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89% NM 31.87%EV -1.88% E -0.620% K -0.924% G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46% NM 25.63%EV -2.59% E -0.684% K -0.931% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 19:19 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.99%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.81%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.20%EV -3.36% E -0.896% K -1.22% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.15%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.12%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -3.36% E -0.896% K -1.22% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.33%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67% NM 32.07%EV -4.14% E -1.40% K -2.10% G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88% NM 25.60%EV -4.13% E -1.11% K -1.52% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19% NM 40.21%EV -0.568% E -0.240% K -0.415% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 34.03%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.76%EV -4.65% E -1.26% K -1.72% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.32%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56% NM 31.95%EV -3.82% E -1.28% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.73%EV -4.65% E -1.26% K -1.72% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.32%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56% NM 31.95%EV -3.82% E -1.28% K -1.93% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.73%EV -4.65% E -1.26% K -1.72% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 11:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.40%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.39%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.21%EV -4.65% E -1.26% K -1.72% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.27%EV -3.50% E -1.52% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.73%EV -6.40% E -2.21% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.00%EV -5.94% E -1.63% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.62%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.30%EV -11.24% E -4.09% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.09%EV -5.94% E -1.63% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84% NM 42.28%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67% NM 31.75%EV -4.14% E -1.40% K -2.10% G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55% NM 25.97%EV -6.45% E -1.78% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.88%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.94%EV -4.79% E -1.62% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.18%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.47%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.47%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.47%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.56%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.47%EV -7.05% E -2.45% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.65%EV -3.50% E -1.52% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.65%EV -3.50% E -1.52% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.97%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 10:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.43%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.64%EV -4.79% E -1.62% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.93%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.42%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.70%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.89%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.40%EV -3.50% E -1.52% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.79%EV -11.24% E -4.09% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 13:10 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:20 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84% NM 41.63%EV -6.44% E -2.89% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.58%EV -8.02% E -2.81% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-20 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.18%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.09%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.15%EV -3.50% E -1.52% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.20%EV -12.86% E -4.76% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.65%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.72%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 32.78%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.50%EV -7.23% E -2.01% K -2.78% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.79%EV -5.60% E -2.49% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.34%EV -3.18% E -1.06% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.87%EV -9.80% E -2.80% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 00:56 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.89%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 31.78%EV -6.40% E -2.21% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.33%EV -9.80% E -2.80% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 06:58 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51% NM 41.73%EV -9.80% E -4.56% K -8.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.24% E -4.09% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.64%EV -9.80% E -2.80% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.26%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97% NM 32.65%EV -10.28% E -3.70% K -5.77% G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74% NM 26.09%EV -10.32% E -2.97% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.11%EV -7.70% E -3.50% K -6.42% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 32.30%EV -9.63% E -3.44% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.60%EV -12.38% E -3.64% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 07:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 41.75%EV -11.90% E -5.66% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 32.47%EV -12.86% E -4.76% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.78%EV -12.38% E -3.64% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 41.78%EV -11.90% E -5.66% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 32.26%EV -12.21% E -4.49% K -7.10% G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59% NM 25.96%EV -12.90% E -3.82% K -5.42% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31% NM 41.94%EV -13.15% E -6.35% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 32.15%EV -12.86% E -4.76% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 25.91%EV -13.67% E -4.08% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-04 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 41.07%EV -11.90% E -5.66% K -10.81% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 32.79%EV -15.12% E -5.75% K -9.27% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.14%EV -14.96% E -4.53% K -6.50% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-06-26 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 41.23%EV -13.99% E -6.83% K -13.33% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 33.15%EV -17.70% E -6.94% K -11.42% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 25.62%EV -14.96% E -4.53% K -6.50% G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Brighton and Hove Albion (Local) | Aston Villa (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02% | 2.90I 34.48% | 3.75I 26.67% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02% | 2.90I 34.48% | 3.75I 26.67% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02% | 2.90I 34.48% | 3.75I 26.67% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62% | 2.64I 37.88% | 3.25I 30.77% | 16.3% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |