The School of Odds
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Brentford v Liverpool

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brentford (Local)

Prediction 35.95%2.78fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.46%35.86%36.00%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.7341.67%38.72%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liverpool (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.23%39.19%39.22%39.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.5445.45%42.09%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.95%24.78%26.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.723.704.0028.17%26.88%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brentford (Local): 35.95%; Liverpool (Visit): 39.26%; Draw: 24.79%. For Liverpool (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.54, with an expected value of -0.276%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 36.09%EV -1.86%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.78%EV -0.276%E -0.109%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.13%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-19 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -4.74%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -4.99%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 15:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.82%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.838%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:53
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:54
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:04
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:54
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.84%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.34%E -3.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.88%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:44
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.83%EV -8.69%E -3.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.23%EV -8.91%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.46%EV -9.41%E -3.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.13%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.14%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.63%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:05