The School of Odds
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Bournemouth v Everton

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bournemouth (Local)

Prediction 53.53%1.87fair odd
EV -0.967%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.23%53.53%53.53%54.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.751.8558.48%56.66%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton (Visit)

Prediction 22.23%4.50fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.446%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.23%22.23%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.214.254.4325.00%23.78%23.53%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.24%4.13fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.24%24.24%24.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.873.884.0127.03%25.86%25.81%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bournemouth (Local): 53.53%; Everton (Visit): 22.23%; Draw: 24.24%. For Bournemouth (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -0.967%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%EV -0.967%E -0.522%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.23%EV -1.53%E -0.345%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.55%EV -2.80%E -0.697%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-21 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.64%E -2.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 14:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.64%E -2.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.33%EV -4.71%E -2.65%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -5.53%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 13:58
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.09%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.42%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 17:54
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.64%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.09%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 13:58
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.09%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.53%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -7.39%E -4.27%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.75%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 17:54
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.46%E -4.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.64%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%6.1%2026-08-21 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 26.45%1.32I 75.76%NM 36.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 37.49%110.1%2026-08-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 26.45%1.32I 75.76%NM 36.07%1.27I 78.74%NM 37.49%110.1%2026-08-21 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 32.90%1.32I 75.76%NM 32.90%1.27I 78.74%NM 34.20%130.3%2026-08-21 19:50

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