Language:English
Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%41.93%41.80%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.252.3548.78%44.34%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tottenham Hotspur (Visit)
Prediction 31.39%3.19fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +0.903%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%31.38%31.41%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.023.2535.71%33.07%33.11%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV +0.275%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.69%26.79%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.7532.26%28.42%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aston Villa (Local): 41.87%; Tottenham Hotspur (Visit): 31.39%; Draw: 26.74%. For Tottenham Hotspur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.19%EV -4.96%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17%EV +2.03%E +0.625%K +0.903%G +0.018% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.64%EV -1.60%E -0.434%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.73%EV -1.62%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%EV +0.462%E +0.144%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.73%EV -1.62%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%EV +0.462%E +0.144%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.73%EV -1.62%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%EV +0.462%E +0.144%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.73%EV -1.62%E -0.687%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%EV +0.462%E +0.144%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.11%E -0.352%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.34%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.88%EV -1.42%E -0.453%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -3.20%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.44%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.15%EV -2.05%E -0.657%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.41%EV -1.60%E -0.434%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -14.18%E -6.91%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.68%E -0.864%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.96%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -0.528%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.96%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -0.528%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.15%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.58%EV -3.62%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -1.33%E -0.360%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.00%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.00%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.40%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.28%EV -6.22%E -2.78%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.29%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -1.60%E -0.434%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.71%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.49%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.06%E -0.287%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 17:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.06%E -0.287%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -1.06%E -0.287%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV +0.275%E +0.073%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.40%E -0.657%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 17:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.75%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 17:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -3.74%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.08%E -5.75%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.11%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 17:51 |