赔率学院

Aston Villa v Sunderland

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

9 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Aston Villa (主队)

预测 58.93%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -4.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.47%58.89%58.93%60.11%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.481.591.591.6567.57%62.94%62.89%60.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sunderland (客队)

预测 16.83%5.94公平赔率
EV +1.84%
优势 +0.304%
Kelly +0.365%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 6.05

博彩公司预测分布
16.00%16.65%16.83%17.57%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.005.545.506.0520.00%18.06%18.18%16.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 24.24%4.13公平赔率
EV -1.84%
优势 -0.455%
Kelly -0.604%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.05

博彩公司预测分布
23.39%24.47%24.24%25.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.603.903.924.0527.78%25.65%25.51%24.69%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.11%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.00%EV +1.84%E +0.304%K +0.365%G +0.007%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.90%EV -1.84%E -0.455%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 01:14
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.50%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.88%EV -3.71%E -0.649%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-23 01:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.50%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.88%EV -3.71%E -0.649%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-23 01:14
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -5.73%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.05%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 21:20
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.42%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.05%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.42%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.05%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.42%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 19:04
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -11.62%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -5.48%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:19
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.96%EV -12.78%E -8.64%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -15.83%E -3.17%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.58%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 21:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 31.56%1.65I 60.61%NM 30.80%1.35I 74.07%NM 37.64%96.8%2026-03-22 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 31.56%1.65I 60.61%NM 30.80%1.35I 74.07%NM 37.64%96.8%2026-03-22 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 41.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 26.46%1.35I 74.07%NM 32.34%129.0%2026-03-22 05:25