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Aston Villa v Manchester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 20.51%4.88fair odd
EV +7.04%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.117%
assuming max odds 5.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%20.42%20.60%22.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.574.505.2224.39%21.87%22.22%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester City (Visit)
Prediction 58.49%1.71fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.80%58.60%58.44%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6864.52%61.74%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd
EV -0.249%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.11%20.98%20.96%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.464.504.7524.39%22.40%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aston Villa (Local): 20.51%; Manchester City (Visit): 58.49%; Draw: 21.00%. For Aston Villa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (70 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.77%EV +7.04%E +1.35%K +1.67%G +0.117% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.48%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.76%EV -0.879%E -0.186%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.85%EV +4.99%E +0.974%K +1.21%G +0.060% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.85%EV +4.99%E +0.974%K +1.21%G +0.060% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.85%EV +4.99%E +0.974%K +1.21%G +0.060% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%EV +4.58%E +0.898%K +1.12%G +0.051% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -0.249%E -0.052%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.11%EV +2.53%E +0.506%K +0.632%G +0.016% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.11%EV -6.99%E -4.40%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +2.53%E +0.506%K +0.632%G +0.016% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -11.80%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +2.53%E +0.506%K +0.632%G +0.016% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV +2.53%E +0.506%K +0.632%G +0.016% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -1.30%E -0.276%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.67%EV +0.273%E +0.056%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.37%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.96%EV -3.61%E -0.786%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88%EV -1.57%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.91%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -1.57%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.77%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV -6.55%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -1.57%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.99%E -4.40%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-23 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 11:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.16%E -5.20%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.16%E -5.20%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.16%E -5.20%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -2.60%E -0.547%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.75%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.37%EV -3.62%E -0.771%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.36%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.27%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.62%E -0.771%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.52%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.31%EV -6.55%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.28%EV -3.83%E -0.816%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.35%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -6.55%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.90%EV -4.65%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.20%EV -2.31%E -1.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.90%EV -2.35%E -0.505%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-24 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-24 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -9.07%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.67%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 11:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.78%EV -6.90%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.11%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 11:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 10:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.80%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.80%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.72%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.80%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.78%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 11:24 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.78%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.78%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.65%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -9.78%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.65%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.78%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -8.65%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -10.80%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.87%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.70%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -10.80%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -11.21%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%EV -4.65%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -11.83%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -11.83%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.70%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.83%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.04%EV -5.82%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -10.75%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.83%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -9.70%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -12.85%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -10.75%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-24 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -2.31%E -1.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -2.31%E -1.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.40%E -0.739%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.50%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.88%E -3.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.92%EV -8.16%E -5.20%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -13.90%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -15.93%E -3.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.32%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -7.60%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 11:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -15.93%E -3.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.80%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.92% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.92% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-10-24 11:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-10-24 11:25 |