Language:English
Aston Villa v Leeds United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 51.83%1.93fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.17%51.85%51.83%53.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.821.831.8856.82%54.88%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leeds United (Visit)
Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.063%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.78%22.48%22.52%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.204.6626.67%23.72%23.81%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.66%25.65%27.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.703.8530.77%27.17%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aston Villa (Local): 51.83%; Leeds United (Visit): 22.49%; Draw: 25.69%. For Leeds United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.78%EV +4.79%E +1.03%K +1.31%G +0.063% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.47%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.23%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.66%EV +1.41%E +0.313%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 26.11%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.86%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.73%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40%EV -1.10%E -0.286%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -1.06%E -0.241%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.06%E -0.241%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.79%E -4.99%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.06%E -0.241%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.82%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.66%EV -3.41%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.66%EV -3.41%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -7.23%E -4.04%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.34%EV -4.21%E -0.988%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -6.75%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.27%EV -2.57%E -1.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.27%EV -2.57%E -1.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.09%EV -8.79%E -4.99%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.43%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.85%EV -4.64%E -2.52%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.39%E -0.628%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -8.79%E -4.99%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.47%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%EV -8.93%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.12%E -2.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.75%E -4.35%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.83%EV -4.19%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -12.30%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -6.71%E -3.73%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |