Language:English
Aston Villa v Chelsea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 35.94%2.78fair odd
EV -0.451%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%35.95%35.89%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.642.7740.00%37.81%37.88%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chelsea (Visit)
Prediction 36.68%2.73fair odd
EV -0.953%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.560%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%36.75%36.63%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.7041.67%38.74%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -0.072%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.30%27.48%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aston Villa (Local): 35.94%; Chelsea (Visit): 36.68%; Draw: 27.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.653. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.650, with an expected value of -0.072%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.56%EV -0.451%E -0.163%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.62%EV -1.32%E -0.491%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.82%EV -3.08%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -1.17%E -0.425%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.953%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -1.17%E -0.425%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.953%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -1.17%E -0.425%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -1.17%E -0.425%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%EV -2.25%E -0.827%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 19:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.97%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.54%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.58%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.66%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -5.27%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.97%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.86%EV -3.69%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.86%EV -3.69%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.68%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 19:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.69%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.19%EV -6.09%E -2.38%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.45%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.95%EV -5.12%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.93%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.23%EV -5.48%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.66%EV -7.19%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.48%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.48%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.84%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%EV -0.953%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.68%EV -0.345%E -0.095%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%EV -0.953%E -0.353%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.68%EV -0.345%E -0.095%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -2.81%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.56%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.36%E -3.28%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.36%E -3.28%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.36%E -3.28%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.65%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -10.15%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -17.87%E -5.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |