Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arsenal v Fulham

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 16:30 UTC

Final: Arsenal 3–0 Fulham

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arsenal (Local)

Prediction 65.63%1.52fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.47%65.57%65.51%67.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.5071.94%69.34%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fulham (Visit)

Prediction 13.27%7.54fair odd
EV +8.78%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.31%13.47%15.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.227.008.2016.67%13.84%14.29%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.10%4.74fair odd
EV -0.826%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.98%21.12%21.02%22.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.474.504.7023.81%22.37%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arsenal (Local): 65.63%; Fulham (Visit): 13.27%; Draw: 21.10%. For Fulham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.54. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.17%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%EV +8.78%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.107%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%EV -0.826%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.37%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-02 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.17%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV -0.826%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.14%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:25
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:25
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.12%E +0.765%K +0.875%G +0.054%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.41%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.60%EV +2.81%E +0.362%K +0.416%G +0.012%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.99%EV -1.88%E -0.404%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 16:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.44%EV +2.14%E +0.278%K +0.320%G +0.007%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.59%EV -1.88%E -0.404%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 16:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.27%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.70%EV +1.08%E +0.142%K +0.164%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 16:25
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -6.14%E -4.30%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.67%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 02:25
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 16:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -0.826%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:24
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:13
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.13%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -0.509%E -0.068%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.27%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.44%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.18%EV -3.16%E -0.433%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.44%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.18%EV -3.16%E -0.433%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%EV -4.49%E -0.623%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.22%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.22%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.94%E -0.638%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 13:06
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.20%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -9.27%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 15:15
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 02:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.14%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.04%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.78%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.18%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.62%EV -8.77%E -6.31%K -22.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.41%EV -9.79%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.12%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -10.46%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -0.826%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -10.46%E -1.55%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:25
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -13.77%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 16:15
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -13.77%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.25%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -13.77%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -7.16%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.77%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -13.77%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.38%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -17.09%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:15
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -20.41%E -3.40%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -20.41%E -3.40%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -20.41%E -3.40%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.05%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 15:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.36%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.36%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-05-02 16:25
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 67.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%0.7%2026-05-02 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-05-02 16:24
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-05-02 16:24
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-05-02 16:25