The School of Odds

Arsenal v Coventry City

2026-08-21 19:00 — EPL

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Arsenal (Local)

1.0694.34%Min
1.1686.46%Mean
1.1686.21%Median
1.1984.03%Max
75.83%1.319Min
83.37%1.199Max
81.27%1.230Mean
81.26%1.231Median
81.25%1.231IQM
81.35%1.229Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.19 under the IQM model: 81.25%

EV -3.31%Edge -2.78%Kelly -17.43%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Coventry City (Visit)

9.5010.53%Min
14.526.89%Mean
14.007.14%Median
20.005.00%Max
4.94%20.246Min
8.86%11.286Max
5.93%16.850Mean
6.07%16.471Median
5.96%16.780IQM
5.91%16.934Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 20.00 under the IQM model: 5.96%

EV +19.19%Edge +0.959%Kelly +1.01%Growth +0.194%

Option 3: Draw

5.5018.18%Min
7.2513.78%Mean
7.5013.33%Median
8.5011.76%Max
11.08%9.022Min
15.30%6.534Max
12.79%7.818Mean
12.67%7.893Median
12.79%7.819IQM
12.75%7.843Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.50 under the IQM model: 12.79%

EV +8.72%Edge +1.03%Kelly +1.16%Growth +0.101%

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

BookmakerArsenal (Local)Coventry City (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.19I 84.03% NM 83.01%EV -3.31% E -2.78% K -17.43% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.94%EV +19.19% E +0.959% K +1.01% G +0.194%8.20I 12.20% NM 12.05%EV +4.88% E +0.595% K +0.678% G +0.033%1.2%2026-07-04 00:55
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47% NM 82.90%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%19.50I 5.13% NM 4.97%EV +16.21% E +0.831% K +0.876% G +0.142%8.00I 12.50% NM 12.12%EV +2.32% E +0.290% K +0.332% G +0.008%3.1%2026-07-04 00:45
Caesars1.15I 86.96% NM 81.65%EV -6.56% E -5.71% K -43.75% G +0.000%19.00I 5.26% NM 4.94%EV +13.23% E +0.696% K +0.735% G +0.097%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.41%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 16:37
SportsBet1.15I 86.96% NM 81.80%EV -6.56% E -5.71% K -43.75% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.23%EV +7.27% E +0.404% K +0.428% G +0.031%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.98%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-02 12:54
FanDuel1.15I 86.96% NM 81.42%EV -6.56% E -5.71% K -43.75% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.20%EV +7.27% E +0.404% K +0.428% G +0.031%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.38%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-02 12:55
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72% NM 81.55%EV -7.37% E -6.47% K -52.67% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.17%EV +7.27% E +0.404% K +0.428% G +0.031%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.28%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 15:09
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47% NM 80.91%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.57%EV +1.31% E +0.077% K +0.082% G +0.001%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.52%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50% NM 83.37%EV -8.19% E -7.24% K -62.98% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.54%EV +1.31% E +0.077% K +0.082% G +0.001%8.50I 11.76% NM 11.08%EV +8.72% E +1.03% K +1.16% G +0.101%6.1%2026-07-03 06:34
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72% NM 81.31%EV -7.37% E -6.47% K -52.67% G +0.000%17.00I 5.88% NM 5.45%EV +1.31% E +0.077% K +0.082% G +0.001%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.24%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-02 12:53
Coolbet1.17I 85.47% NM 81.36%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%16.00I 6.25% NM 5.95%EV -4.65% E -0.291% K -0.310% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.69%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 19:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47% NM 80.63%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%16.00I 6.25% NM 5.90%EV -4.65% E -0.291% K -0.310% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.48%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34% NM 82.48%EV -13.87% E -13.09% K -231.24% G +0.000%16.00I 6.25% NM 5.46%EV -4.65% E -0.291% K -0.310% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.06%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-04 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47% NM 81.22%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%15.55I 6.43% NM 6.11%EV -7.33% E -0.472% K -0.504% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.67%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 11:49
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47% NM 81.22%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%15.55I 6.43% NM 6.11%EV -7.33% E -0.472% K -0.504% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.67%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 11:49
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72% NM 81.92%EV -7.37% E -6.47% K -52.67% G +0.000%15.36I 6.51% NM 6.08%EV -8.47% E -0.551% K -0.589% G +0.000%7.78I 12.85% NM 12.00%EV -0.493% E -0.063% K -0.073% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 23:00
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03% NM 80.35%EV -3.31% E -2.78% K -17.43% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.20I 13.89% NM 13.28%EV -7.91% E -1.10% K -1.28% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 00:29
Coral1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.32%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.64%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 21:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47% NM 81.04%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.32%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.64%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 21:39
BetMGM1.16I 86.21% NM 80.82%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.93%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 21:38
DraftKings1.15I 86.96% NM 81.30%EV -6.56% E -5.71% K -43.75% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.23%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47% NM 79.49%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.20%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.31%EV -16.86% E -2.59% K -3.07% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72% NM 80.72%EV -7.37% E -6.47% K -52.67% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.13%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.15%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 12:55
Everygame1.12I 89.29% NM 81.36%EV -9.00% E -8.04% K -74.99% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.07%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.57%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 01:25
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72% NM 79.91%EV -7.37% E -6.47% K -52.67% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.07%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.02%EV -16.86% E -2.59% K -3.07% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50% NM 79.13%EV -8.19% E -7.24% K -62.98% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 5.96%EV -10.61% E -0.707% K -0.758% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.90%EV -23.26% E -3.88% K -4.65% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-19 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47% NM 80.32%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.71%EV -16.57% E -1.18% K -1.27% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.96%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 21:39
Neds1.17I 85.47% NM 80.32%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.71%EV -16.57% E -1.18% K -1.27% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 12.96%EV -7.27% E -1.00% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 21:39
William Hill1.17I 85.47% NM 80.26%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.22%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.52%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47% NM 80.26%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.22%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.52%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 13:00
888sport1.17I 85.47% NM 80.26%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.22%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.52%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47% NM 80.26%EV -4.94% E -4.22% K -29.04% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.22%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.52%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 13:20
betPARX1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:49
Casumo1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:10
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:10
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:20
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:20
TABtouch1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:30
BetRivers1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 21:59
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21% NM 80.39%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.43%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 06:59
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96% NM 80.53%EV -6.56% E -5.71% K -43.75% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.12%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.35%EV -4.07% E -0.543% K -0.627% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 19:40
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21% NM 79.38%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.08%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%6.80I 14.71% NM 13.54%EV -13.03% E -1.92% K -2.25% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-02 10:19
TAB1.18I 84.75% NM 77.67%EV -4.12% E -3.50% K -22.91% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.05%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.28%EV -23.26% E -3.88% K -4.65% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 12:44
ReBet1.16I 86.21% NM 78.35%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 6.99%EV -22.53% E -1.73% K -1.88% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 14.66%EV -20.70% E -3.34% K -3.98% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21% NM 79.22%EV -5.75% E -4.96% K -35.93% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.66%EV -28.49% E -2.37% K -2.59% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.13%EV -10.47% E -1.50% K -1.74% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50% NM 77.58%EV -8.19% E -7.24% K -62.98% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.31%EV -28.49% E -2.37% K -2.59% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 15.11%EV -25.82% E -4.45% K -5.38% G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-26 05:10
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50% NM 77.48%EV -8.19% E -7.24% K -62.98% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.30%EV -28.49% E -2.37% K -2.59% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.23%EV -26.46% E -4.60% K -5.57% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 00:29
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09% NM 75.83%EV -9.81% E -8.84% K -89.20% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 8.86%EV -43.39% E -4.57% K -5.10% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 15.30%EV -29.65% E -5.39% K -6.59% G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-26 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerArsenal (Local)Coventry City (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%22.00I 4.55%8.00I 12.50%2.5%2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%22.00I 4.55%8.00I 12.50%2.5%2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%18.00I 5.56%8.00I 12.50%3.5%2026-07-05 10:15
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%10.50I 9.52%5.40I 18.52%17.3%2026-07-04 00:30