Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arsenal v Chelsea

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arsenal (Local)

Prediction 62.94%1.59fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.18%62.95%62.84%64.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.49%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chelsea (Visit)

Prediction 15.63%6.40fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 6.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.75%15.61%15.72%16.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.056.006.5518.18%16.52%16.67%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV +0.717%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.53%21.44%21.44%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.424.504.7027.78%22.61%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arsenal (Local): 62.94%; Chelsea (Visit): 15.63%; Draw: 21.43%. For Chelsea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.40. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.64%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.96%EV +2.38%E +0.364%K +0.429%G +0.010%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.40%EV -1.85%E -0.405%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-01 16:09
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.00%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-01 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.04%EV +0.820%E +0.127%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +0.038%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +0.717%E +0.153%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-01 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +0.038%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +0.717%E +0.153%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-01 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +0.038%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +0.717%E +0.153%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-01 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +0.038%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV +0.717%E +0.153%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.1%2026-03-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.17%EV -1.53%E -0.242%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 16:24
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.87%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.17%EV -1.53%E -0.242%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 16:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.64%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.71%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.85%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV -1.43%E -0.310%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:14
Bet Right🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.22%E -4.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -1.43%E -0.310%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 16:08
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.21%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:24
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:20
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:19
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 16:19
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:39
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.87%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.31%EV -3.09%E -0.498%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -3.09%E -0.498%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.43%E -0.310%K -0.396%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -4.65%E -0.763%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -4.65%E -0.763%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:14
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.35%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.67%EV -4.81%E -0.789%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.98%EV -7.00%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 16:24
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.02%EV -5.43%E -0.898%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -4.85%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -1.43%E -0.310%K -0.396%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -2.44%E -1.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -1.43%E -0.310%K -0.396%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 16:24
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.24%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 16:19
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:34
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.71%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -4.96%E -3.29%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.71%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.71%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 15:58
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.21%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.21%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.68%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.15%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 16:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.00%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -10.90%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.93%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.57%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -9.37%E -6.50%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -22.85%E -6.35%K -8.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-01 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-03-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-01 16:24
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-03-01 16:24
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%2.9%2026-03-01 16:09