Language:English
Arsenal v Burnley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arsenal (Local)
Prediction 86.83%1.15fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -22.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.62%86.87%86.78%89.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.101.1295.24%91.72%91.32%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burnley (Visit)
Prediction 3.95%25.31fair odd
EV +34.32%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.357%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.89%3.98%4.01%5.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
17.0024.3524.5034.005.88%4.11%4.08%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.22%10.85fair odd
EV +15.22%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.201%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.77%9.14%9.20%10.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.4510.1512.5011.76%9.57%9.85%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arsenal (Local): 86.83%; Burnley (Visit): 3.95%; Draw: 9.22%. For Burnley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.31. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.26%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%EV +34.32%E +1.01%K +1.04%G +0.357% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%EV +15.22%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.201% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.87%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.93%EV +30.37%E +0.920%K +0.949%G +0.288% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.29%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.91%EV +30.37%E +0.920%K +0.949%G +0.288% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%EV -9.67%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.29%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.91%EV +30.37%E +0.920%K +0.949%G +0.288% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.80%EV -9.67%E -0.987%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.01%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +22.47%E +0.725%K +0.749%G +0.168% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.201% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.10%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +22.47%E +0.725%K +0.749%G +0.168% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +15.22%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.201% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.10%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +22.47%E +0.725%K +0.749%G +0.168% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +15.22%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.201% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.38%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV +22.47%E +0.725%K +0.749%G +0.168% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.12%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +14.57%E +0.502%K +0.520%G +0.076% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%EV +6.00%E +0.522%K +0.571%G +0.034% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.64%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.38%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +10.61%E +0.884%K +0.964%G +0.102% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.07%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +6.00%E +0.522%K +0.571%G +0.034% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.07%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +6.00%E +0.522%K +0.571%G +0.034% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.07%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +6.00%E +0.522%K +0.571%G +0.034% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.07%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +6.00%E +0.522%K +0.571%G +0.034% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.74%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.74%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.89%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.09%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV +2.72%E +0.104%K +0.109%G +0.003% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.45%EV -2.75%E -2.45%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.87%EV -1.24%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.77%EV -1.24%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -11.51%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -1.24%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -1.24%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV -1.24%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.81%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.01%EV -5.19%E -0.216%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.83%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.33%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.33%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.48%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 18:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.04%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.43%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -7.96%E -7.51%K -132.64%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +10.61%E +0.884%K +0.964%G +0.102% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.08%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.08%EV -7.09%E -6.63%K -101.28%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.18%EV -7.96%E -7.51%K -132.64%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.18%EV -7.96%E -7.51%K -132.64%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -9.14%E -0.397%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.13%EV -8.83%E -8.41%K -176.53%G +0.000% | 22.95I 4.36%NM 3.99%EV -9.33%E -0.407%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.88%EV -5.06%E -0.491%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.75%E -2.45%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.60%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.20%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.48%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -19.35%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -21.65%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.47%EV -7.96%E -7.51%K -132.64%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -17.04%E -0.811%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.52%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.75%EV -20.99%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.74%EV -10.13%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -20.99%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.84%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -20.99%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -20.99%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +10.61%E +0.884%K +0.964%G +0.102% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -20.99%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +10.61%E +0.884%K +0.964%G +0.102% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -24.94%E -1.31%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -3.62%E -3.26%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -24.94%E -1.31%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.83%E -0.783%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -24.94%E -1.31%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +1.39%E +0.127%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.00%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.77%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -28.89%E -1.60%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -3.22%E -0.306%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-18 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.71%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -32.84%E -1.93%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.71%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -32.84%E -1.93%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -12.43%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.09% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 17:25 |